São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 22 августа?
14°C или выше 99.5%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$1,398 Объем
$1,398 Объем
4°C или ниже
Нет
5°C
Нет
6°C
Нет
7°C
Нет
8°C
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C или выше
Да
14°C или выше 99.5%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$1,398 Объем
$1,398 Объем
4°C или ниже
Нет
5°C
Нет
6°C
Нет
7°C
Нет
8°C
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C или выше
Да
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
São Paulo's official meteorological observations for August 22, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 14°C or higher, aligning with the near-certain market-implied probability. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and above-average seasonal warmth that suppressed nocturnal cooling, consistent with regional model guidance from INMET and surrounding stations showing limited cold-air advection. Historical August climatology for the city centers on lows near 12–13°C, yet 2026 conditions deviated warmer due to delayed frontal passages. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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