Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25–26°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies is anchoring trader consensus near the middle of the distribution. Persistent summer moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover are preventing stronger overnight drops, while regional steering patterns sustain a warm, humid air mass consistent with August climatology where typical lows range 23–25°C. Model runs show only minor variations in timing of any clearing, keeping the 24–26°C outcomes tightly bunched; fresh KMA short-range updates or observed trends in humidity and wind will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the overnight period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 15 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 15 августа?
26°C 37%
25°C 31%
24°C 31%
27°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
11%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C
37%
27°C
14%
28°C
9%
29°C
7%
30°C или выше
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 31%
24°C 31%
27°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$12 Объем
1%
21°C
$25 Объем
6%
22°C
$27 Объем
9%
23°C
$0 Объем
11%
24°C
$10 Объем
31%
25°C
$0 Объем
31%
26°C
$0 Объем
37%
27°C
$0 Объем
14%
28°C
$13 Объем
9%
29°C
$12 Объем
7%
30°C или выше
$12 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25–26°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies is anchoring trader consensus near the middle of the distribution. Persistent summer moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover are preventing stronger overnight drops, while regional steering patterns sustain a warm, humid air mass consistent with August climatology where typical lows range 23–25°C. Model runs show only minor variations in timing of any clearing, keeping the 24–26°C outcomes tightly bunched; fresh KMA short-range updates or observed trends in humidity and wind will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$112Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25–26°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies is anchoring trader consensus near the middle of the distribution. Persistent summer moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover are preventing stronger overnight drops, while regional steering patterns sustain a warm, humid air mass consistent with August climatology where typical lows range 23–25°C. Model runs show only minor variations in timing of any clearing, keeping the 24–26°C outcomes tightly bunched; fresh KMA short-range updates or observed trends in humidity and wind will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$112Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a 25–26°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies is anchoring trader consensus near the middle of the distribution. Persistent summer moisture and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover are preventing stronger overnight drops, while regional steering patterns sustain a warm, humid air mass consistent with August climatology where typical lows range 23–25°C. Model runs show only minor variations in timing of any clearing, keeping the 24–26°C outcomes tightly bunched; fresh KMA short-range updates or observed trends in humidity and wind will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the overnight period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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