Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 Объем
$22,874 Объем
10°C or below
No
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Да
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C или выше
Нет
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,874 Объем
$22,874 Объем
10°C or below
No
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Да
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 14°C in Shanghai on April 27, reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast update from April 25, which projects an overnight low of exactly 14°C amid persistent overcast skies and light winds. Current daytime highs near 29°C (85°F) with cloudy conditions have aligned with model ensembles from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather, showing minimal divergence and cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling that could otherwise drop temperatures lower. Historical April lows average 11°C but this mild spring pattern, influenced by weak East Asian monsoon flows, supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of skies overnight or a late northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though official hourly observations through dawn will confirm resolution with high confidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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