**Forecast models and official guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory currently point to a minimum temperature near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under light rain with northerly winds shifting northeast.** This consensus, supported by GFS and regional outputs showing overnight lows around 22–23°C amid moderate humidity and light precipitation, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C. Recent northerly flow has moderated daytime heat while limiting radiational cooling, producing a typical early-autumn diurnal range consistent with historical September baselines. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside or downside deviation from these model runs ahead of the overnight period, with only modest probability assigned to 21°C or 23°C scenarios that would require notable forecast shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 10 сентября?
22°C 49%
21°C 23%
23°C 22%
24°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
23%
22°C
49%
23°C
22%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
22°C 49%
21°C 23%
23°C 22%
24°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$175 Объем
<1%
19°C
$478 Объем
2%
20°C
$340 Объем
8%
21°C
$1,226 Объем
23%
22°C
$2,128 Объем
49%
23°C
$2,675 Объем
22%
24°C
$302 Объем
4%
25°C
$678 Объем
<1%
26°C
$20 Объем
1%
27°C
$37 Объем
<1%
28°C или выше
$151 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory currently point to a minimum temperature near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under light rain with northerly winds shifting northeast.** This consensus, supported by GFS and regional outputs showing overnight lows around 22–23°C amid moderate humidity and light precipitation, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C. Recent northerly flow has moderated daytime heat while limiting radiational cooling, producing a typical early-autumn diurnal range consistent with historical September baselines. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside or downside deviation from these model runs ahead of the overnight period, with only modest probability assigned to 21°C or 23°C scenarios that would require notable forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$8,210Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory currently point to a minimum temperature near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under light rain with northerly winds shifting northeast.** This consensus, supported by GFS and regional outputs showing overnight lows around 22–23°C amid moderate humidity and light precipitation, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C. Recent northerly flow has moderated daytime heat while limiting radiational cooling, producing a typical early-autumn diurnal range consistent with historical September baselines. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside or downside deviation from these model runs ahead of the overnight period, with only modest probability assigned to 21°C or 23°C scenarios that would require notable forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,210Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory currently point to a minimum temperature near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under light rain with northerly winds shifting northeast.** This consensus, supported by GFS and regional outputs showing overnight lows around 22–23°C amid moderate humidity and light precipitation, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C. Recent northerly flow has moderated daytime heat while limiting radiational cooling, producing a typical early-autumn diurnal range consistent with historical September baselines. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside or downside deviation from these model runs ahead of the overnight period, with only modest probability assigned to 21°C or 23°C scenarios that would require notable forecast shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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