**Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 22 point to overnight lows of 24–26°C amid a shift to cloudier conditions and scattered thunderstorms, placing the 27°C outcome at the center of trader attention.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, show daytime highs near 30–31°C giving way to nighttime readings moderated by increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This contrasts with clearer-sky scenarios that could allow a dip toward 22°C or below, while warmer advection or delayed cooling keeps some probability on 32°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers around a 24°C minimum, but the near-term transition from recent hot, stable weather introduces model spread in timing and intensity of the rain, sustaining close market-implied odds across the key thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 22 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 22 сентября?
22°C или ниже 88%
32°C или выше 87%
27°C 44%
23°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
88%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
37%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
13%
32°C или выше
87%
22°C или ниже 88%
32°C или выше 87%
27°C 44%
23°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$0 Объем
88%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
39%
25°C
$0 Объем
39%
26°C
$0 Объем
23%
27°C
$10 Объем
37%
28°C
$0 Объем
39%
29°C
$0 Объем
3%
30°C
$0 Объем
17%
31°C
$0 Объем
13%
32°C или выше
$0 Объем
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 22 point to overnight lows of 24–26°C amid a shift to cloudier conditions and scattered thunderstorms, placing the 27°C outcome at the center of trader attention.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, show daytime highs near 30–31°C giving way to nighttime readings moderated by increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This contrasts with clearer-sky scenarios that could allow a dip toward 22°C or below, while warmer advection or delayed cooling keeps some probability on 32°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers around a 24°C minimum, but the near-term transition from recent hot, stable weather introduces model spread in timing and intensity of the rain, sustaining close market-implied odds across the key thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$10Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 22 point to overnight lows of 24–26°C amid a shift to cloudier conditions and scattered thunderstorms, placing the 27°C outcome at the center of trader attention.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, show daytime highs near 30–31°C giving way to nighttime readings moderated by increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This contrasts with clearer-sky scenarios that could allow a dip toward 22°C or below, while warmer advection or delayed cooling keeps some probability on 32°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers around a 24°C minimum, but the near-term transition from recent hot, stable weather introduces model spread in timing and intensity of the rain, sustaining close market-implied odds across the key thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 22 point to overnight lows of 24–26°C amid a shift to cloudier conditions and scattered thunderstorms, placing the 27°C outcome at the center of trader attention.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, show daytime highs near 30–31°C giving way to nighttime readings moderated by increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. This contrasts with clearer-sky scenarios that could allow a dip toward 22°C or below, while warmer advection or delayed cooling keeps some probability on 32°C or higher. Historical September climatology for the region centers around a 24°C minimum, but the near-term transition from recent hot, stable weather introduces model spread in timing and intensity of the rain, sustaining close market-implied odds across the key thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine the exact low before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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