Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows in the prior week have held between 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, aligning with climatological norms for late September while exceeding the long-term average low of roughly 22°C. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus, with the 24°C outcome leading at 49% implied probability, though slight divergences in local urban heat-island effects or brief drizzle could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Israeli Meteorological Service observations at the primary Tel Aviv station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 22 сентября?
18°C или ниже 90%
28°C или выше 82%
24°C 50%
25°C 40%
18°C или ниже
90%
19°C
11%
20°C
17%
21°C
38%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
50%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
15%
28°C или выше
82%
18°C или ниже 90%
28°C или выше 82%
24°C 50%
25°C 40%
18°C или ниже
90%
19°C
11%
20°C
17%
21°C
38%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
50%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
15%
28°C или выше
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tel Aviv on September 22, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows in the prior week have held between 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, aligning with climatological norms for late September while exceeding the long-term average low of roughly 22°C. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus, with the 24°C outcome leading at 49% implied probability, though slight divergences in local urban heat-island effects or brief drizzle could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official Israeli Meteorological Service observations at the primary Tel Aviv station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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