Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate Tel Aviv's minimum temperature on September 8 will likely fall between 24–26°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with typical early-September Mediterranean conditions and historical averages near 23–25°C overnight. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support these readings, with daytime maxima projected at 31–33°C. Trader emphasis on the 30°C+ bin at 49% implied probability reflects uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates and potential model revisions closer to the date, while the cluster around 25–26°C captures the consensus from current ensemble guidance. Updated NHC-style regional forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 8 сентября?
20°C или ниже 98%
30°C или выше 98%
25°C 50%
26°C 50%
20°C или ниже
98%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
50%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
98%
20°C или ниже 98%
30°C или выше 98%
25°C 50%
26°C 50%
20°C или ниже
98%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
50%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate Tel Aviv's minimum temperature on September 8 will likely fall between 24–26°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with typical early-September Mediterranean conditions and historical averages near 23–25°C overnight. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover support these readings, with daytime maxima projected at 31–33°C. Trader emphasis on the 30°C+ bin at 49% implied probability reflects uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates and potential model revisions closer to the date, while the cluster around 25–26°C captures the consensus from current ensemble guidance. Updated NHC-style regional forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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