Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–25 °C on September 6, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and residual warmth from the Mediterranean Sea limiting radiative cooling. These conditions support the market’s leading 25 °C outcome at 48 % implied probability. Historical September minima average 23–24 °C, with recent stable high-pressure patterns keeping values close to or slightly above climatology. Forecast uncertainty remains modest given the short lead time, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final minimum by 1 °C. Updated model guidance and Israel Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the key data releases likely to influence trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 6 сентября?
29°C или выше 69%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
25°C 36%
19°C или ниже
31%
20°C
34%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
36%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C или выше
69%
29°C или выше 69%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
25°C 36%
19°C или ниже
31%
20°C
34%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
36%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C или выше
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–25 °C on September 6, driven by clear skies, light westerly flow, and residual warmth from the Mediterranean Sea limiting radiative cooling. These conditions support the market’s leading 25 °C outcome at 48 % implied probability. Historical September minima average 23–24 °C, with recent stable high-pressure patterns keeping values close to or slightly above climatology. Forecast uncertainty remains modest given the short lead time, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final minimum by 1 °C. Updated model guidance and Israel Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the key data releases likely to influence trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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