**Recent forecasts from multiple models, including outputs aligned with Met Office, Yr.no, and WeatherBug data, show Tel Aviv overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** These conditions support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 31–32°C, with dew points near 22°C and humidity rising above 80% overnight but without significant cloud cover or stronger northerly flows that could enhance cooling. Historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–25°C, and current model consensus shows no anomalous synoptic setup—such as an early-season cold front or heat dome—that would shift extremes. Slight inter-model differences in exact minimum timing or local urban heat effects explain the close 24°C versus 25°C market pricing, while probabilities for 20°C or below or 30°C+ remain low given the stable pattern and lack of recent data shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 4 сентября?
20°C или ниже 79%
30°C или выше 70%
24°C 54%
22°C 51%
20°C или ниже
79%
21°C
32%
22°C
51%
23°C
48%
24°C
54%
25°C
38%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C или выше
70%
20°C или ниже 79%
30°C или выше 70%
24°C 54%
22°C 51%
20°C или ниже
79%
21°C
32%
22°C
51%
23°C
48%
24°C
54%
25°C
38%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C или выше
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple models, including outputs aligned with Met Office, Yr.no, and WeatherBug data, show Tel Aviv overnight lows stabilizing near 24–25°C on September 4 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds.** These conditions support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 31–32°C, with dew points near 22°C and humidity rising above 80% overnight but without significant cloud cover or stronger northerly flows that could enhance cooling. Historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–25°C, and current model consensus shows no anomalous synoptic setup—such as an early-season cold front or heat dome—that would shift extremes. Slight inter-model differences in exact minimum timing or local urban heat effects explain the close 24°C versus 25°C market pricing, while probabilities for 20°C or below or 30°C+ remain low given the stable pattern and lack of recent data shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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