Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official resolution source—have recorded a morning low of exactly 13°C on April 26, with daytime temperatures climbing to a confirmed high of 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of spring's diurnal cycle. This positions trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time surface data that locks the daily minimum as solar heating and urban heat island effects prevent further drops in the Kanto region's stable atmospheric conditions. Historical April lows at Haneda average 11–13°C, aligning with current readings from short-range forecast models. Only an extraordinary late-evening cold front—unlikely given forecast consensus and no supporting upper-air data—could challenge this, with final daily summaries expected by JMA tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on April 26?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on April 26?
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$32,264 Объем
$32,264 Объем
26 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$32,264 Объем
$32,264 Объем
26 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$1,479 Объем
No
9°C
$1,792 Объем
No
10°C
$1,781 Объем
No
11°C
$3,647 Объем
No
12°C
$3,803 Объем
No
13°C
$6,764 Объем
Yes
14°C
$5,416 Объем
No
15°C
$1,021 Объем
No
16°C
$956 Объем
No
17°C
$2,211 Объем
No
18°C or higher
$3,393 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official resolution source—have recorded a morning low of exactly 13°C on April 26, with daytime temperatures climbing to a confirmed high of 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of spring's diurnal cycle. This positions trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time surface data that locks the daily minimum as solar heating and urban heat island effects prevent further drops in the Kanto region's stable atmospheric conditions. Historical April lows at Haneda average 11–13°C, aligning with current readings from short-range forecast models. Only an extraordinary late-evening cold front—unlikely given forecast consensus and no supporting upper-air data—could challenge this, with final daily summaries expected by JMA tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$32,264Дата окончания
26 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official resolution source—have recorded a morning low of exactly 13°C on April 26, with daytime temperatures climbing to a confirmed high of 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of spring's diurnal cycle. This positions trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time surface data that locks the daily minimum as solar heating and urban heat island effects prevent further drops in the Kanto region's stable atmospheric conditions. Historical April lows at Haneda average 11–13°C, aligning with current readings from short-range forecast models. Only an extraordinary late-evening cold front—unlikely given forecast consensus and no supporting upper-air data—could challenge this, with final daily summaries expected by JMA tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$32,264Дата окончания
26 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Japan Meteorological Agency observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official resolution source—have recorded a morning low of exactly 13°C on April 26, with daytime temperatures climbing to a confirmed high of 20°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of spring's diurnal cycle. This positions trader consensus at a near-certain implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time surface data that locks the daily minimum as solar heating and urban heat island effects prevent further drops in the Kanto region's stable atmospheric conditions. Historical April lows at Haneda average 11–13°C, aligning with current readings from short-range forecast models. Only an extraordinary late-evening cold front—unlikely given forecast consensus and no supporting upper-air data—could challenge this, with final daily summaries expected by JMA tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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