Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall between 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driven by high pressure promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18°C. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for variance based on exact wind speeds, humidity levels near 70%, and any subtle cloud cover shifts that could limit overnight temperature drops. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model consensus on mild conditions tempered by uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as small changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum across key thresholds. Updated Environment Canada and GFS runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Торонто 24 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Торонто 24 сентября?
5°C или ниже 91%
15°C или выше 88%
14°C 39%
6°C 38%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
91%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C или выше
88%
5°C или ниже 91%
15°C или выше 88%
14°C 39%
6°C 38%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$10 Объем
91%
6°C
$10 Объем
38%
7°C
$10 Объем
38%
8°C
$0 Объем
21%
9°C
$0 Объем
21%
10°C
$0 Объем
22%
11°C
$0 Объем
22%
12°C
$0 Объем
21%
13°C
$0 Объем
20%
14°C
$10 Объем
39%
15°C или выше
$10 Объем
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall between 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driven by high pressure promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18°C. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for variance based on exact wind speeds, humidity levels near 70%, and any subtle cloud cover shifts that could limit overnight temperature drops. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model consensus on mild conditions tempered by uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as small changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum across key thresholds. Updated Environment Canada and GFS runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$50Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall between 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driven by high pressure promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18°C. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for variance based on exact wind speeds, humidity levels near 70%, and any subtle cloud cover shifts that could limit overnight temperature drops. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model consensus on mild conditions tempered by uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as small changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum across key thresholds. Updated Environment Canada and GFS runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$50Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall between 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driven by high pressure promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 18°C. This setup aligns with typical late-September climatology but leaves room for variance based on exact wind speeds, humidity levels near 70%, and any subtle cloud cover shifts that could limit overnight temperature drops. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes reflects model consensus on mild conditions tempered by uncertainty in the final hours before resolution, as small changes in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could push the minimum across key thresholds. Updated Environment Canada and GFS runs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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