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icon for Масуд Пезешкян выходит...?
Геополитика·Ближний Восток

Масуд Пезешкян выходит...?

icon for Масуд Пезешкян выходит...?
Геополитика·Ближний Восток

Масуд Пезешкян выходит...?

$816,067 Объем

30 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$816,067 Объем

Polymarket

30 июня

$304,075 Объем

1%

31 декабря

$196,013 Объем

20%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Masoud Pezeshkian remains Iran's president amid post-conflict stabilization following the 2026 U.S.-Israel confrontation and the March assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Trader focus centers on May 2026 reports—denied by officials—of a resignation letter submitted over IRGC influence in executive decisions and exclusion from core policy. Pezeshkian has continued public engagement, including statements on national unity after the conflict and finalization of a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding scheduled for signing around June 19. Key variables include the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's position on the presidency, any post-agreement power realignments, and institutional succession rules that could trigger removal or replacement before scheduled term end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$816,067
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Masoud Pezeshkian remains Iran's president amid post-conflict stabilization following the 2026 U.S.-Israel confrontation and the March assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Trader focus centers on May 2026 reports—denied by officials—of a resignation letter submitted over IRGC influence in executive decisions and exclusion from core policy. Pezeshkian has continued public engagement, including statements on national unity after the conflict and finalization of a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding scheduled for signing around June 19. Key variables include the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's position on the presidency, any post-agreement power realignments, and institutional succession rules that could trigger removal or replacement before scheduled term end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$816,067
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Масуд Пезешкян выходит...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 20%, за ним следует «30 июня» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 20¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Масуд Пезешкян выходит...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $816.1K с момента запуска рынка Jan 8, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Масуд Пезешкян выходит...?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Масуд Пезешкян выходит...?» — «31 декабря» с 20%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 июня» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Масуд Пезешкян выходит...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.