State Sen. Eric Pratt has emerged as the overwhelming trader consensus favorite at 84.5% implied probability to win Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on August 11 following GOP challenger Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal on April 15, citing an impending military deployment that clears the field. Kistner, a Marine veteran who narrowly lost general elections to Rep. Angie Craig in 2020 and 2022, had won recent straw polls like Scott County's convention at 66%, but his exit leaves Pratt as the sole major candidate in the open-seat race. Pratt's campaign strategist declined to endorse, citing Pratt's past criticism of President Trump and legislative record, though no other challengers have gained traction; late entries or Kistner's reversal could shift odds before precinct caucuses and conventions conclude endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$14,258 Объем
$14,258 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Эрик Пратт
84%
Тайлер Кистнер
9%
$14,258 Объем
$14,258 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Эрик Пратт
$2,617 Объем
84%
Тайлер Кистнер
$11,641 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt has emerged as the overwhelming trader consensus favorite at 84.5% implied probability to win Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on August 11 following GOP challenger Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal on April 15, citing an impending military deployment that clears the field. Kistner, a Marine veteran who narrowly lost general elections to Rep. Angie Craig in 2020 and 2022, had won recent straw polls like Scott County's convention at 66%, but his exit leaves Pratt as the sole major candidate in the open-seat race. Pratt's campaign strategist declined to endorse, citing Pratt's past criticism of President Trump and legislative record, though no other challengers have gained traction; late entries or Kistner's reversal could shift odds before precinct caucuses and conventions conclude endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Объем
$14,258Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt has emerged as the overwhelming trader consensus favorite at 84.5% implied probability to win Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on August 11 following GOP challenger Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal on April 15, citing an impending military deployment that clears the field. Kistner, a Marine veteran who narrowly lost general elections to Rep. Angie Craig in 2020 and 2022, had won recent straw polls like Scott County's convention at 66%, but his exit leaves Pratt as the sole major candidate in the open-seat race. Pratt's campaign strategist declined to endorse, citing Pratt's past criticism of President Trump and legislative record, though no other challengers have gained traction; late entries or Kistner's reversal could shift odds before precinct caucuses and conventions conclude endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$14,258Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Eric Pratt has emerged as the overwhelming trader consensus favorite at 84.5% implied probability to win Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on August 11 following GOP challenger Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal on April 15, citing an impending military deployment that clears the field. Kistner, a Marine veteran who narrowly lost general elections to Rep. Angie Craig in 2020 and 2022, had won recent straw polls like Scott County's convention at 66%, but his exit leaves Pratt as the sole major candidate in the open-seat race. Pratt's campaign strategist declined to endorse, citing Pratt's past criticism of President Trump and legislative record, though no other challengers have gained traction; late entries or Kistner's reversal could shift odds before precinct caucuses and conventions conclude endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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