Incumbent Republican Mike Flood, who won the 2024 general election with 60 percent in Nebraska’s 1st district, holds a clear edge over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer following the May 2026 primaries. The district’s R+6 partisan voting index and eastern Nebraska’s mix of rural counties and suburban areas around Lincoln and Omaha favor Republican candidates in most cycles. Recent May polling showed Flood ahead by single digits or low double digits, consistent with the seat’s historical performance and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. An independent candidacy and Libertarian entry have not materially altered the race’s trajectory. Trader positioning aligns with these structural and incumbency factors heading into the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$23,055 Объем
$23,055 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
81%
Демократическая партия
16%
$23,055 Объем
$23,055 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$11,671 Объем
81%
Демократическая партия
$11,385 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood, who won the 2024 general election with 60 percent in Nebraska’s 1st district, holds a clear edge over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer following the May 2026 primaries. The district’s R+6 partisan voting index and eastern Nebraska’s mix of rural counties and suburban areas around Lincoln and Omaha favor Republican candidates in most cycles. Recent May polling showed Flood ahead by single digits or low double digits, consistent with the seat’s historical performance and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. An independent candidacy and Libertarian entry have not materially altered the race’s trajectory. Trader positioning aligns with these structural and incumbency factors heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$23,055Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood, who won the 2024 general election with 60 percent in Nebraska’s 1st district, holds a clear edge over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer following the May 2026 primaries. The district’s R+6 partisan voting index and eastern Nebraska’s mix of rural counties and suburban areas around Lincoln and Omaha favor Republican candidates in most cycles. Recent May polling showed Flood ahead by single digits or low double digits, consistent with the seat’s historical performance and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. An independent candidacy and Libertarian entry have not materially altered the race’s trajectory. Trader positioning aligns with these structural and incumbency factors heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,055Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Flood, who won the 2024 general election with 60 percent in Nebraska’s 1st district, holds a clear edge over Democratic nominee Chris Backemeyer following the May 2026 primaries. The district’s R+6 partisan voting index and eastern Nebraska’s mix of rural counties and suburban areas around Lincoln and Omaha favor Republican candidates in most cycles. Recent May polling showed Flood ahead by single digits or low double digits, consistent with the seat’s historical performance and Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating. An independent candidacy and Libertarian entry have not materially altered the race’s trajectory. Trader positioning aligns with these structural and incumbency factors heading into the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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