Trader consensus heavily favors 2.2M-2.4M passengers (63.5% implied probability) for April 8 TSA screenings, reflecting a sharp post-Easter slump from weekend peaks of 2.71 million on April 6 and 2.56 million on April 5, as holiday travel fervor wanes on a routine Tuesday. The 1.8M-2.0M bin at 38.5% gains traction amid widespread flight disruptions—over 3,500 delays and cancellations nationwide yesterday—potentially stranding 50,000-70,000 travelers and curbing throughput further. Spring break momentum sustains elevated volumes above 2.2 million daily averages, but historical post-peak patterns and real-time chaos tilt odds away from >2.6M (5%). Official TSA data expected today could shift positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено2.4M-2.6M 17.7%
>2.6M 10%
2.0M-2.2M 3.0%
<1.8M <1%
$1,687 Объем
$1,687 Объем
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
22%
2.2M-2.4M
62%
2.4M-2.6M
18%
>2.6M
10%
2.4M-2.6M 17.7%
>2.6M 10%
2.0M-2.2M 3.0%
<1.8M <1%
$1,687 Объем
$1,687 Объем
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
22%
2.2M-2.4M
62%
2.4M-2.6M
18%
>2.6M
10%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 2.2M-2.4M passengers (63.5% implied probability) for April 8 TSA screenings, reflecting a sharp post-Easter slump from weekend peaks of 2.71 million on April 6 and 2.56 million on April 5, as holiday travel fervor wanes on a routine Tuesday. The 1.8M-2.0M bin at 38.5% gains traction amid widespread flight disruptions—over 3,500 delays and cancellations nationwide yesterday—potentially stranding 50,000-70,000 travelers and curbing throughput further. Spring break momentum sustains elevated volumes above 2.2 million daily averages, but historical post-peak patterns and real-time chaos tilt odds away from >2.6M (5%). Official TSA data expected today could shift positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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