NY-07, encompassing neighborhoods across Brooklyn and Queens, has long been a safely Democratic seat, with the retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez securing 78 percent in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of a credible GOP challenger for the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and Council Member Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, with recent Emerson polling showing Valdez narrowly ahead amid a large undecided share. A strong primary winner is expected to coast in the general, consistent with historical patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic district. A late scandal, unusually weak nominee performance, or national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$22,285 Объем
$22,285 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$22,285 Объем
$22,285 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,501 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$10,784 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07, encompassing neighborhoods across Brooklyn and Queens, has long been a safely Democratic seat, with the retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez securing 78 percent in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of a credible GOP challenger for the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and Council Member Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, with recent Emerson polling showing Valdez narrowly ahead amid a large undecided share. A strong primary winner is expected to coast in the general, consistent with historical patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic district. A late scandal, unusually weak nominee performance, or national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$22,285Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07, encompassing neighborhoods across Brooklyn and Queens, has long been a safely Democratic seat, with the retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez securing 78 percent in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of a credible GOP challenger for the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and Council Member Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, with recent Emerson polling showing Valdez narrowly ahead amid a large undecided share. A strong primary winner is expected to coast in the general, consistent with historical patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic district. A late scandal, unusually weak nominee performance, or national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,285Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-07, encompassing neighborhoods across Brooklyn and Queens, has long been a safely Democratic seat, with the retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez securing 78 percent in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of a credible GOP challenger for the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and Council Member Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, with recent Emerson polling showing Valdez narrowly ahead amid a large undecided share. A strong primary winner is expected to coast in the general, consistent with historical patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic district. A late scandal, unusually weak nominee performance, or national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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