NY-07 is an overwhelmingly Democratic district encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+25. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s decision not to seek re-election in 2026 has triggered a competitive Democratic primary on June 23, but the winner is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election against a minimal Republican challenge. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent election results, limited GOP infrastructure, and absence of recent developments that would alter its fundamental partisan character. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unusually weak or scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, a national political realignment favoring Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$22,285 Объем
$22,285 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$22,285 Объем
$22,285 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,501 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$10,784 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07 is an overwhelmingly Democratic district encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+25. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s decision not to seek re-election in 2026 has triggered a competitive Democratic primary on June 23, but the winner is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election against a minimal Republican challenge. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent election results, limited GOP infrastructure, and absence of recent developments that would alter its fundamental partisan character. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unusually weak or scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, a national political realignment favoring Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$22,285Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07 is an overwhelmingly Democratic district encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+25. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s decision not to seek re-election in 2026 has triggered a competitive Democratic primary on June 23, but the winner is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election against a minimal Republican challenge. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent election results, limited GOP infrastructure, and absence of recent developments that would alter its fundamental partisan character. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unusually weak or scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, a national political realignment favoring Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,285Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-07 is an overwhelmingly Democratic district encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens with a strong partisan lean exceeding D+25. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s decision not to seek re-election in 2026 has triggered a competitive Democratic primary on June 23, but the winner is expected to prevail decisively in the November general election against a minimal Republican challenge. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district’s consistent election results, limited GOP infrastructure, and absence of recent developments that would alter its fundamental partisan character. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unusually weak or scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, a national political realignment favoring Republicans in the 2026 midterms, or unexpected turnout shifts among key voting blocs, though structural factors make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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