The heavily Democratic lean of New York's 7th congressional district, with a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee following the June 2026 primary. Claire Valdez secured the nomination in a landslide after Nydia Velázquez retired, consolidating support in a district encompassing Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods with high Democratic enrollment and turnout patterns. Limited Republican primary activity and fundraising reflect the structural challenges for the opposing party in this open-seat contest. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$29,234 Объем
$29,234 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
3%
$29,234 Объем
$29,234 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$14,873 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$14,361 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of New York's 7th congressional district, with a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee following the June 2026 primary. Claire Valdez secured the nomination in a landslide after Nydia Velázquez retired, consolidating support in a district encompassing Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods with high Democratic enrollment and turnout patterns. Limited Republican primary activity and fundraising reflect the structural challenges for the opposing party in this open-seat contest. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$29,234Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of New York's 7th congressional district, with a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee following the June 2026 primary. Claire Valdez secured the nomination in a landslide after Nydia Velázquez retired, consolidating support in a district encompassing Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods with high Democratic enrollment and turnout patterns. Limited Republican primary activity and fundraising reflect the structural challenges for the opposing party in this open-seat contest. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$29,234Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of New York's 7th congressional district, with a Cook PVI of D+25 and consistent strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee following the June 2026 primary. Claire Valdez secured the nomination in a landslide after Nydia Velázquez retired, consolidating support in a district encompassing Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods with high Democratic enrollment and turnout patterns. Limited Republican primary activity and fundraising reflect the structural challenges for the opposing party in this open-seat contest. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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