Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКонти 45%
Фернанда Лопес 45%
Брену Гимарайнс 44%
Виллем да Силва 44%

Конти
45%

Фернанда Лопес
45%

Брену Гимарайнс
44%

Виллем да Силва
44%

Делегаду Эдер Мауро
44%

Эдлейн Родригес
44%

Жизель Фрейтас
44%

Целсо Сабино
44%

Шикао
43%

Зекинья Маринью
43%

Хелдер
42%
Конти 45%
Фернанда Лопес 45%
Брену Гимарайнс 44%
Виллем да Силва 44%

Конти
45%

Фернанда Лопес
45%

Брену Гимарайнс
44%

Виллем да Силва
44%

Делегаду Эдер Мауро
44%

Эдлейн Родригес
44%

Жизель Фрейтас
44%

Целсо Сабино
44%

Шикао
43%

Зекинья Маринью
43%

Хелдер
42%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Pará’s two Senate seats show Helder Barbalho (MDB) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving a fragmented contest for second among roughly a dozen registered candidates including Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and others. Latest surveys from July and early August place Éder Mauro ahead of the pack for second but with support levels close enough to several rivals that small shifts in turnout or alliances could reorder the field. The two-vote, first-round system and absence of a dominant challenger keep implied probabilities clustered, reflecting trader assessment of a still-open race two months before the October 4 election. Further polling, party conventions, or high-profile endorsements could quickly widen gaps among the contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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