With over 93% of ballots counted by Peru's electoral authority ONPE as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori holds a first-round plurality lead of about 5.1 percentage points (17.1%) over Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%) in second place, ahead of Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), solidifying trader consensus at 81.5% for her margin exceeding 5% and just 18.5% for under 5%. Early exit polls and partial tallies showed a tighter race, but Sánchez overtook López Aliaga as urban and rural votes stabilized Fujimori's edge in the fragmented 35-candidate field, setting up a June 7 runoff. Logistical delays from polling station issues extended counting amid unsubstantiated fraud claims, though transparency observers from OEA and EU affirm process integrity; remaining acts under review pose minimal risk to the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПервый тур президентских выборов в Перу: предел победы
Первый тур президентских выборов в Перу: предел победы
Кейко Фухимори 5%+ 81.4%
Кейко Фухимори <5% 18.5%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 15%+ <1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 10-15% <1%
$309,833 Объем
$309,833 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 15%+
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 10-15%
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 5-10%
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага <5%
<1%
Альфонсо Лопес Чау 5%+
<1%
Альфонсо Лопес Чау <5%
<1%
Кейко Фухимори 5%+
81%
Кейко Фухимори <5%
19%
Хорхе Ньето
<1%
Роберто Санчес Паломино
<1%
Вольфганг Грозо
<1%
Карлос Альварес
<1%
Другое
<1%
Кейко Фухимори 5%+ 81.4%
Кейко Фухимори <5% 18.5%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 15%+ <1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 10-15% <1%
$309,833 Объем
$309,833 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 15%+
$8,336 Объем
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 10-15%
$10,022 Объем
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 5-10%
$6,707 Объем
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага <5%
$11,482 Объем
<1%
Альфонсо Лопес Чау 5%+
$6,911 Объем
<1%
Альфонсо Лопес Чау <5%
$6,047 Объем
<1%
Кейко Фухимори 5%+
$88,690 Объем
81%
Кейко Фухимори <5%
$118,636 Объем
19%
Хорхе Ньето
$6,335 Объем
<1%
Роберто Санчес Паломино
$10,618 Объем
<1%
Вольфганг Грозо
$4,420 Объем
<1%
Карлос Альварес
$5,810 Объем
<1%
Другое
$25,818 Объем
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With over 93% of ballots counted by Peru's electoral authority ONPE as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori holds a first-round plurality lead of about 5.1 percentage points (17.1%) over Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%) in second place, ahead of Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), solidifying trader consensus at 81.5% for her margin exceeding 5% and just 18.5% for under 5%. Early exit polls and partial tallies showed a tighter race, but Sánchez overtook López Aliaga as urban and rural votes stabilized Fujimori's edge in the fragmented 35-candidate field, setting up a June 7 runoff. Logistical delays from polling station issues extended counting amid unsubstantiated fraud claims, though transparency observers from OEA and EU affirm process integrity; remaining acts under review pose minimal risk to the gap.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Объем
$309,833Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With over 93% of ballots counted by Peru's electoral authority ONPE as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori holds a first-round plurality lead of about 5.1 percentage points (17.1%) over Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%) in second place, ahead of Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), solidifying trader consensus at 81.5% for her margin exceeding 5% and just 18.5% for under 5%. Early exit polls and partial tallies showed a tighter race, but Sánchez overtook López Aliaga as urban and rural votes stabilized Fujimori's edge in the fragmented 35-candidate field, setting up a June 7 runoff. Logistical delays from polling station issues extended counting amid unsubstantiated fraud claims, though transparency observers from OEA and EU affirm process integrity; remaining acts under review pose minimal risk to the gap.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$309,833Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 93% of ballots counted by Peru's electoral authority ONPE as of April 16, Keiko Fujimori holds a first-round plurality lead of about 5.1 percentage points (17.1%) over Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.0%) in second place, ahead of Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), solidifying trader consensus at 81.5% for her margin exceeding 5% and just 18.5% for under 5%. Early exit polls and partial tallies showed a tighter race, but Sánchez overtook López Aliaga as urban and rural votes stabilized Fujimori's edge in the fragmented 35-candidate field, setting up a June 7 runoff. Logistical delays from polling station issues extended counting amid unsubstantiated fraud claims, though transparency observers from OEA and EU affirm process integrity; remaining acts under review pose minimal risk to the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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