Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 83.5% for Peru's first-round presidential election, driven by compulsory voting norms clashing with profound voter apathy after a decade of instability—eight presidents in ten years—and a record 35 candidates fragmenting the ballot amid top concerns of crime and corruption. The April 12-13 vote was upended by severe logistical breakdowns, including ballot delivery failures, power outages, and 13% of Lima polling stations (holding 30% of the electorate) unopened by mid-afternoon, extending proceedings into a second day and preventing around 63,000 from voting despite efforts to reopen sites. These disruptions, echoing historical turnout around 70-80% in prior cycles like 2021, position lower ranges as unlikely while keeping 75-80% viable pending official National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) tallies ahead of a probable June 7 runoff.