Trader consensus prices 70-75% turnout at 83.8% for Peru's first-round presidential election held April 12-13, reflecting historical patterns like 74% in 2021 and 81% in 2016 under mandatory voting for ages 18-70, tempered by recent voter disillusionment from political instability. Logistical breakdowns dominated the past 48 hours, with ballot shortages in Lima forcing a second voting day for tens of thousands and sparking police probes into the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), likely suppressing participation below prior highs amid a fragmented 35-candidate field. Ongoing ONPE scrutiny with over 90% actas processed shows no outright winner, but final turnout certification remains pending, with low odds on extremes signaling tight clustering around 70-75%.