Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads the Rondônia Senate race for first place, with traders assigning him the highest probability based on consistent polling advantages and his established profile as a federal deputy and former state health secretary. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from mid-2026, show him ahead of the field, supported by his switch to the PL and alignment with broader party strategies ahead of the October vote. Trailing contenders such as Sílvia Cristina, Acir Gurgacz, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid register lower implied probabilities, reflecting weaker name recognition and poll placement in a contest for two seats where early positioning favors the frontrunner. No major late shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в сенат Рондонии: 1-е место
Выборы в сенат Рондонии: 1-е место
Dr. Fernando Máximo 53%
Sílvia Cristina 20%
Acir Gurgacz 14%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Dr. Fernando Máximo
64%
Sílvia Cristina
20%
Acir Gurgacz
14%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
11%
Mariana Carvalho
10%
Aires Mota
8%
Engenheiro Thulio
8%
Luis Fernando
8%
Luciana Oliveira
6%
Neidinha
5%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 53%
Sílvia Cristina 20%
Acir Gurgacz 14%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$107 Объем
64%
Sílvia Cristina
$60 Объем
20%
Acir Gurgacz
$60 Объем
14%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$40 Объем
11%
Mariana Carvalho
$40 Объем
10%
Aires Mota
$71 Объем
8%
Engenheiro Thulio
$94 Объем
8%
Luis Fernando
$40 Объем
8%
Luciana Oliveira
$67 Объем
6%
Neidinha
$90 Объем
5%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads the Rondônia Senate race for first place, with traders assigning him the highest probability based on consistent polling advantages and his established profile as a federal deputy and former state health secretary. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from mid-2026, show him ahead of the field, supported by his switch to the PL and alignment with broader party strategies ahead of the October vote. Trailing contenders such as Sílvia Cristina, Acir Gurgacz, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid register lower implied probabilities, reflecting weaker name recognition and poll placement in a contest for two seats where early positioning favors the frontrunner. No major late shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Объем
$670Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads the Rondônia Senate race for first place, with traders assigning him the highest probability based on consistent polling advantages and his established profile as a federal deputy and former state health secretary. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from mid-2026, show him ahead of the field, supported by his switch to the PL and alignment with broader party strategies ahead of the October vote. Trailing contenders such as Sílvia Cristina, Acir Gurgacz, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid register lower implied probabilities, reflecting weaker name recognition and poll placement in a contest for two seats where early positioning favors the frontrunner. No major late shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$670Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leads the Rondônia Senate race for first place, with traders assigning him the highest probability based on consistent polling advantages and his established profile as a federal deputy and former state health secretary. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data data from mid-2026, show him ahead of the field, supported by his switch to the PL and alignment with broader party strategies ahead of the October vote. Trailing contenders such as Sílvia Cristina, Acir Gurgacz, and Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid register lower implied probabilities, reflecting weaker name recognition and poll placement in a contest for two seats where early positioning favors the frontrunner. No major late shifts have altered the consensus in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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