Trader consensus prices Juan Pablo Velasco at 80% implied probability to win the Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff against Otto Ritter on April 19, driven by his first-round lead of 29.8% to Ritter's 26.5% in the fragmented March 22 subnational elections, where Luis Fernando Camacho's 22% eliminated other candidates. A recent Ipsos CIESMori poll for Unitel shows Velasco ahead 43.6%-34.7% among decided voters (15% undecided), with 48% expecting his victory. The April 13 debate underscored policy clashes on fiscal autonomy, including Velasco's 50/50 revenue-sharing proposal from national taxes and mining royalties. Santa Cruz's opposition stronghold status and voter consolidation from eliminated rivals bolster Velasco's edge, though turnout and undecideds could sway the closely contested race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоХуан Пабло Веласко 80.2%
Отто Риттер 19.9%
Хуан Карлос Медрано <1%
Маурисио Кесада <1%
$799,005 Объем
$799,005 Объем
Хуан Пабло Веласко
80%
Отто Риттер
20%
Хуан Карлос Медрано
<1%
Маурисио Кесада
<1%
Чи Хён Чун
<1%
Хулио Сесар Торрес
<1%
Гидо Эдуардо Наяр
<1%
Мигель Кадима
<1%
Владимир Пенья
<1%
Луис Фернандо Камачо
<1%
Хуан Пабло Веласко 80.2%
Отто Риттер 19.9%
Хуан Карлос Медрано <1%
Маурисио Кесада <1%
$799,005 Объем
$799,005 Объем
Хуан Пабло Веласко
80%
Отто Риттер
20%
Хуан Карлос Медрано
<1%
Маурисио Кесада
<1%
Чи Хён Чун
<1%
Хулио Сесар Торрес
<1%
Гидо Эдуардо Наяр
<1%
Мигель Кадима
<1%
Владимир Пенья
<1%
Луис Фернандо Камачо
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Открытие рынка: Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Juan Pablo Velasco at 80% implied probability to win the Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff against Otto Ritter on April 19, driven by his first-round lead of 29.8% to Ritter's 26.5% in the fragmented March 22 subnational elections, where Luis Fernando Camacho's 22% eliminated other candidates. A recent Ipsos CIESMori poll for Unitel shows Velasco ahead 43.6%-34.7% among decided voters (15% undecided), with 48% expecting his victory. The April 13 debate underscored policy clashes on fiscal autonomy, including Velasco's 50/50 revenue-sharing proposal from national taxes and mining royalties. Santa Cruz's opposition stronghold status and voter consolidation from eliminated rivals bolster Velasco's edge, though turnout and undecideds could sway the closely contested race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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