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Выборы·Награды 20, 4.5, 50

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

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Выборы·Награды 20, 4.5, 50

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Doly Begum 98.4%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Lyall Sanders <1%

Diana Filipova <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Doly Begum 98.4%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Lyall Sanders <1%

Diana Filipova <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
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Doly Begum

$291 Объем

98%

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Pooja Malhotra

$41 Объем

1%

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Lyall Sanders

$41 Объем

1%

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Diana Filipova

$41 Объем

1%

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April Francisco

$41 Объем

1%

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David Vedova

$42 Объем

1%

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Peter Koubakis

$57 Объем

1%

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Fatima Shaban

$43 Объем

1%

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Doly Begum commands 98% trader consensus in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election set for April 13, fueled by the riding's historical Liberal stronghold—61% in the 2025 general election—and her incumbency-like profile as the outgoing NDP provincial MPP who resigned her seat to run federally. A March Mainstreet poll showed Liberals leading decisively, reinforced by Prime Minister Mark Carney's endorsement on April 3 and a candidate debate on April 2 highlighting local issues like housing without notable gaffes. Advance polls opened April 3 amid steady campaigning. While entrenched advantages make an upset improbable, a late scandal over her party switch, depressed Liberal turnout, or Conservative momentum for Diana Filipova could theoretically shift odds in this first-past-the-post riding.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Объем
$593
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Doly Begum commands 98% trader consensus in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election set for April 13, fueled by the riding's historical Liberal stronghold—61% in the 2025 general election—and her incumbency-like profile as the outgoing NDP provincial MPP who resigned her seat to run federally. A March Mainstreet poll showed Liberals leading decisively, reinforced by Prime Minister Mark Carney's endorsement on April 3 and a candidate debate on April 2 highlighting local issues like housing without notable gaffes. Advance polls opened April 3 amid steady campaigning. While entrenched advantages make an upset improbable, a late scandal over her party switch, depressed Liberal turnout, or Conservative momentum for Diana Filipova could theoretically shift odds in this first-past-the-post riding.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Объем
$593
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Doly Begum» с 98%, за ним следует «Pooja Malhotra» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner» — «Doly Begum» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Pooja Malhotra» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.