**Strong theatrical legs from its record-setting $360 million opening have sustained "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" through consistent holds, positioning the sixth weekend for a likely $15 million-plus frame.** After a -60% second-weekend drop, the Tom Holland-led Marvel title eased to -51%, -45%, and -42% in subsequent frames, delivering $70.7 million in weekend three, $39 million in four, and $22.5 million in five while maintaining the top spot amid lighter competition. With domestic totals nearing $896 million and global crossing $2.3 billion, the film's front-loaded but durable run—supported by strong audience scores and IMAX expansion—supports trader consensus around the 15m+ outcome at 67.5% implied probability. Upcoming Labor Day holiday timing and any late-September competition could influence final tracking.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» 6-я касса выходного дня
15 млн+ 61%
14-15 млн 25%
12-13 млн 2%
<11 млн 1.9%
<11 млн
2%
11-12 млн
1%
12-13 млн
13%
13-14 млн
23%
14-15 млн
25%
15 млн+
68%
15 млн+ 61%
14-15 млн 25%
12-13 млн 2%
<11 млн 1.9%
<11 млн
2%
11-12 млн
1%
12-13 млн
13%
13-14 млн
23%
14-15 млн
25%
15 млн+
68%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Strong theatrical legs from its record-setting $360 million opening have sustained "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" through consistent holds, positioning the sixth weekend for a likely $15 million-plus frame.** After a -60% second-weekend drop, the Tom Holland-led Marvel title eased to -51%, -45%, and -42% in subsequent frames, delivering $70.7 million in weekend three, $39 million in four, and $22.5 million in five while maintaining the top spot amid lighter competition. With domestic totals nearing $896 million and global crossing $2.3 billion, the film's front-loaded but durable run—supported by strong audience scores and IMAX expansion—supports trader consensus around the 15m+ outcome at 67.5% implied probability. Upcoming Labor Day holiday timing and any late-September competition could influence final tracking.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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