The IPO's pricing at the low end of the marketed range and subsequent NYSE debut drive the overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for a $2.25B–$2.5B closing market cap. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining raised $270 million by selling 20 million shares at $13.50 each, with the stock opening 11% higher at $15 for an initial market value near $2.1 billion based on shares outstanding in the filings. Backing from billionaire Thomas Kaplan and plans to restart the historic Idaho silver mine in 2028 supported demand amid a robust IPO environment. The June 5 closing will finalize the figure, though last-minute trading moves or full exercise of the underwriters' option for additional shares represent the primary scenarios that could shift the outcome outside the consensus range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2.25B–$2.5B 100.0%
$2.75B–$3B 1.0%
$2.5B–$2.75B <1%
<$2B <1%
$30,162 Объем
$30,162 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
<$2B
No
$2B–$2.25B
No
$2.25B–$2.5B
Yes
$2.5B–$2.75B
No
$2.75B–$3B
No
$3B+
No
No IPO before August 2026
No
$2.25B–$2.5B 100.0%
$2.75B–$3B 1.0%
$2.5B–$2.75B <1%
<$2B <1%
$30,162 Объем
$30,162 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
<$2B
$2,891 Объем
No
$2B–$2.25B
$10,488 Объем
No
$2.25B–$2.5B
$4,224 Объем
Yes
$2.5B–$2.75B
$3,098 Объем
No
$2.75B–$3B
$3,735 Объем
No
$3B+
$3,462 Объем
No
No IPO before August 2026
$2,264 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.The IPO's pricing at the low end of the marketed range and subsequent NYSE debut drive the overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for a $2.25B–$2.5B closing market cap. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining raised $270 million by selling 20 million shares at $13.50 each, with the stock opening 11% higher at $15 for an initial market value near $2.1 billion based on shares outstanding in the filings. Backing from billionaire Thomas Kaplan and plans to restart the historic Idaho silver mine in 2028 supported demand amid a robust IPO environment. The June 5 closing will finalize the figure, though last-minute trading moves or full exercise of the underwriters' option for additional shares represent the primary scenarios that could shift the outcome outside the consensus range.
This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: May 27, 2026, 10:38 PM ET
Объем
$30,162Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 10:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.The IPO's pricing at the low end of the marketed range and subsequent NYSE debut drive the overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for a $2.25B–$2.5B closing market cap. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining raised $270 million by selling 20 million shares at $13.50 each, with the stock opening 11% higher at $15 for an initial market value near $2.1 billion based on shares outstanding in the filings. Backing from billionaire Thomas Kaplan and plans to restart the historic Idaho silver mine in 2028 supported demand amid a robust IPO environment. The June 5 closing will finalize the figure, though last-minute trading moves or full exercise of the underwriters' option for additional shares represent the primary scenarios that could shift the outcome outside the consensus range.
This market will resolve based on Sunshine Silver's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Объем
$30,162Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 10:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The IPO's pricing at the low end of the marketed range and subsequent NYSE debut drive the overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for a $2.25B–$2.5B closing market cap. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining raised $270 million by selling 20 million shares at $13.50 each, with the stock opening 11% higher at $15 for an initial market value near $2.1 billion based on shares outstanding in the filings. Backing from billionaire Thomas Kaplan and plans to restart the historic Idaho silver mine in 2028 supported demand amid a robust IPO environment. The June 5 closing will finalize the figure, though last-minute trading moves or full exercise of the underwriters' option for additional shares represent the primary scenarios that could shift the outcome outside the consensus range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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