Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus in the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election market, reflecting her lead in March Liaison Strategies polling (44% vs. Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%) after former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement declining re-entry, which fragmented the centre-right opposition. Chow's incumbency advantage in Toronto's first-past-the-post system amplifies her edge amid undecided voters and a crowded field, positioning Councillor Bradford (11%) as the primary challenger focused on basics like transit, while former Deputy Mayor Ana Bailão (6%) trails. No new polls since March, but upcoming candidate declarations and debates could shift dynamics in this early race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOlivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 11%
Ana Bailão 6%
Kevin Clarke 2.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 окт. 2026 г.
Olivia Chow
77%
Brad Bradford
11%
Ana Bailão
6%
Kevin Clarke
3%
John Tory
2%
Michael Ford
2%
Anthony Furey
1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
Olivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 11%
Ana Bailão 6%
Kevin Clarke 2.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 окт. 2026 г.
Olivia Chow
$4,078 Объем
77%
Brad Bradford
$715 Объем
11%
Ana Bailão
$1,972 Объем
6%
Kevin Clarke
$383 Объем
3%
John Tory
$311 Объем
2%
Michael Ford
$1,031 Объем
2%
Anthony Furey
$410 Объем
1%
Marco Mendicino
$331 Объем
<1%
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus in the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election market, reflecting her lead in March Liaison Strategies polling (44% vs. Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%) after former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement declining re-entry, which fragmented the centre-right opposition. Chow's incumbency advantage in Toronto's first-past-the-post system amplifies her edge amid undecided voters and a crowded field, positioning Councillor Bradford (11%) as the primary challenger focused on basics like transit, while former Deputy Mayor Ana Bailão (6%) trails. No new polls since March, but upcoming candidate declarations and debates could shift dynamics in this early race.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Объем
$9,231Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus in the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election market, reflecting her lead in March Liaison Strategies polling (44% vs. Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%) after former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement declining re-entry, which fragmented the centre-right opposition. Chow's incumbency advantage in Toronto's first-past-the-post system amplifies her edge amid undecided voters and a crowded field, positioning Councillor Bradford (11%) as the primary challenger focused on basics like transit, while former Deputy Mayor Ana Bailão (6%) trails. No new polls since March, but upcoming candidate declarations and debates could shift dynamics in this early race.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Объем
$9,231Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus in the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election market, reflecting her lead in March Liaison Strategies polling (44% vs. Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%) after former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement declining re-entry, which fragmented the centre-right opposition. Chow's incumbency advantage in Toronto's first-past-the-post system amplifies her edge amid undecided voters and a crowded field, positioning Councillor Bradford (11%) as the primary challenger focused on basics like transit, while former Deputy Mayor Ana Bailão (6%) trails. No new polls since March, but upcoming candidate declarations and debates could shift dynamics in this early race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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