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Политика·Ближний Восток

Трамп объявляет о прекращении военных операций против Ирана...?

Market icon
Политика·Ближний Восток

Трамп объявляет о прекращении военных операций против Ирана...?

$26,673,959 Объем

30 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$26,673,959 Объем

Polymarket

21 апреля

$1,145,138 Объем

19%

30 апреля

$5,255,377 Объем

40%

31 мая

$343,628 Объем

70%

30 июня

$1,929,741 Объем

83%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent statements signaling that U.S. military operations against Iran could conclude within two to three weeks have fueled trader optimism for an imminent de-escalation, following the February 28 launch of joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes targeting Iranian nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership amid the ongoing 2026 Iran conflict. However, operations persist with U.S. restruck targets on Kharg Island as recently as April 7, a naval blockade of Iranian ports now in its third week, and reports of over 10,000 additional troops deploying to the Middle East on April 15 to bolster a fragile ceasefire. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution 12 hours ago, preserving executive flexibility, while Strait of Hormuz negotiations remain central to any formal end announcement. Traders eye upcoming diplomatic talks and potential escalation signals for shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.

Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$26,673,959
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 4:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent statements signaling that U.S. military operations against Iran could conclude within two to three weeks have fueled trader optimism for an imminent de-escalation, following the February 28 launch of joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes targeting Iranian nuclear sites, missile facilities, and leadership amid the ongoing 2026 Iran conflict. However, operations persist with U.S. restruck targets on Kharg Island as recently as April 7, a naval blockade of Iranian ports now in its third week, and reports of over 10,000 additional troops deploying to the Middle East on April 15 to bolster a fragile ceasefire. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution 12 hours ago, preserving executive flexibility, while Strait of Hormuz negotiations remain central to any formal end announcement. Traders eye upcoming diplomatic talks and potential escalation signals for shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.

Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$26,673,959
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 6, 2026, 4:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Трамп объявляет о прекращении военных операций против Ирана...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 июня» с 83%, за ним следует «31 мая» с 70%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 83¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Трамп объявляет о прекращении военных операций против Ирана...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $26.7 million с момента запуска рынка Feb 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Трамп объявляет о прекращении военных операций против Ирана...?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Трамп объявляет о прекращении военных операций против Ирана...?» — «30 июня» с 83%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 83%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 мая» с 70%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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