Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in the Utah 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, due to his prior service as the state's last Democratic member of Congress, early ballot qualification through signatures, and fundraising advantage exceeding other candidates. The crowded field of challengers, including state Sen. Nate Blouin and Liban Mohamed, has remained fragmented after unsuccessful consolidation efforts among progressives, which traders view as preserving McAdams' position in the new blue-leaning district centered on Salt Lake County. Name recognition and established donor networks further reinforce his edge ahead of early voting. A late surge by a single opponent or unusually high progressive turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts appear limited by the current distribution of support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБен МакАдамс 91%
Нейт Блуэн 8%
Либан Мохамед 1.8%
Лус Эскамилья <1%
$46,465 Объем
$46,465 Объем
Бен МакАдамс
91%
Нейт Блуэн
8%
Либан Мохамед
2%
Лус Эскамилья
<1%
Эрин Менденхолл
<1%
Кэролайн Глайх
<1%
Брайан Кинг
<1%
Кэтлин Рибе
<1%
Каэл Уэстон
<1%
Дженни Уилсон
<1%
Майкл Фаррелл
<1%
Бен МакАдамс 91%
Нейт Блуэн 8%
Либан Мохамед 1.8%
Лус Эскамилья <1%
$46,465 Объем
$46,465 Объем
Бен МакАдамс
91%
Нейт Блуэн
8%
Либан Мохамед
2%
Лус Эскамилья
<1%
Эрин Менденхолл
<1%
Кэролайн Глайх
<1%
Брайан Кинг
<1%
Кэтлин Рибе
<1%
Каэл Уэстон
<1%
Дженни Уилсон
<1%
Майкл Фаррелл
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in the Utah 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, due to his prior service as the state's last Democratic member of Congress, early ballot qualification through signatures, and fundraising advantage exceeding other candidates. The crowded field of challengers, including state Sen. Nate Blouin and Liban Mohamed, has remained fragmented after unsuccessful consolidation efforts among progressives, which traders view as preserving McAdams' position in the new blue-leaning district centered on Salt Lake County. Name recognition and established donor networks further reinforce his edge ahead of early voting. A late surge by a single opponent or unusually high progressive turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts appear limited by the current distribution of support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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