SpaceX priced its June 12 Nasdaq IPO at $135 per share in a $75 billion offering, establishing a market capitalization of approximately $1.75–1.8 trillion that aligns directly with the 94% implied probability on the 1.75–2.00T bracket. Trader consensus reflects the company's 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion, Starlink subscriber growth, and launch dominance, which supported the fixed-price structure and record raise without a traditional roadshow range. While the outcome appears settled post-pricing, realistic scenarios that could shift perceived valuation include post-IPO trading volatility on SPCX shares or any last-minute adjustments to share count that alter the final fully diluted market cap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
1,75–2,00 трлн 94.0%
2,00–2,25 трлн 2.3%
2,25–2,50 трлн <1%
1,50-1,75 трлн <1%
$244,318 Объем
$244,318 Объем
<1,25 трлн
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
<1%
1,50-1,75 трлн
<1%
1,75–2,00 трлн
94%
2,00–2,25 трлн
2%
2,25–2,50 трлн
<1%
2,50T+
<1%
1,75–2,00 трлн 94.0%
2,00–2,25 трлн 2.3%
2,25–2,50 трлн <1%
1,50-1,75 трлн <1%
$244,318 Объем
$244,318 Объем
<1,25 трлн
$71,614 Объем
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
$23,306 Объем
<1%
1,50-1,75 трлн
$23,083 Объем
<1%
1,75–2,00 трлн
$52,375 Объем
94%
2,00–2,25 трлн
$27,588 Объем
2%
2,25–2,50 трлн
$19,516 Объем
<1%
2,50T+
$26,835 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX priced its June 12 Nasdaq IPO at $135 per share in a $75 billion offering, establishing a market capitalization of approximately $1.75–1.8 trillion that aligns directly with the 94% implied probability on the 1.75–2.00T bracket. Trader consensus reflects the company's 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion, Starlink subscriber growth, and launch dominance, which supported the fixed-price structure and record raise without a traditional roadshow range. While the outcome appears settled post-pricing, realistic scenarios that could shift perceived valuation include post-IPO trading volatility on SPCX shares or any last-minute adjustments to share count that alter the final fully diluted market cap.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$244,318Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX priced its June 12 Nasdaq IPO at $135 per share in a $75 billion offering, establishing a market capitalization of approximately $1.75–1.8 trillion that aligns directly with the 94% implied probability on the 1.75–2.00T bracket. Trader consensus reflects the company's 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion, Starlink subscriber growth, and launch dominance, which supported the fixed-price structure and record raise without a traditional roadshow range. While the outcome appears settled post-pricing, realistic scenarios that could shift perceived valuation include post-IPO trading volatility on SPCX shares or any last-minute adjustments to share count that alter the final fully diluted market cap.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$244,318Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX priced its June 12 Nasdaq IPO at $135 per share in a $75 billion offering, establishing a market capitalization of approximately $1.75–1.8 trillion that aligns directly with the 94% implied probability on the 1.75–2.00T bracket. Trader consensus reflects the company's 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion, Starlink subscriber growth, and launch dominance, which supported the fixed-price structure and record raise without a traditional roadshow range. While the outcome appears settled post-pricing, realistic scenarios that could shift perceived valuation include post-IPO trading volatility on SPCX shares or any last-minute adjustments to share count that alter the final fully diluted market cap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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