SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion market capitalization and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 91.4% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Strong institutional demand, Starlink’s expansion to over 10 million subscribers with roughly $11–18 billion in trailing revenue, and SpaceX’s launch-market dominance support this valuation despite elevated multiples near 95–100x sales. Analyst skepticism, including Morningstar’s view that fair value sits near half the IPO price, highlights risks from Starship development costs and addressable-market uncertainty. Post-IPO trading volume, first earnings release, and any shifts in Fed policy or risk appetite could introduce volatility around these levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
1,75–2,00 трлн 91.3%
1,50-1,75 трлн 8.4%
2,00–2,25 трлн 2.4%
2,25–2,50 трлн <1%
$239,447 Объем
$239,447 Объем
<1,25 трлн
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
<1%
1,50-1,75 трлн
9%
1,75–2,00 трлн
91%
2,00–2,25 трлн
2%
2,25–2,50 трлн
<1%
2,50T+
<1%
1,75–2,00 трлн 91.3%
1,50-1,75 трлн 8.4%
2,00–2,25 трлн 2.4%
2,25–2,50 трлн <1%
$239,447 Объем
$239,447 Объем
<1,25 трлн
$71,614 Объем
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
$23,306 Объем
<1%
1,50-1,75 трлн
$22,317 Объем
9%
1,75–2,00 трлн
$49,370 Объем
91%
2,00–2,25 трлн
$26,778 Объем
2%
2,25–2,50 трлн
$19,255 Объем
<1%
2,50T+
$26,808 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion market capitalization and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 91.4% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Strong institutional demand, Starlink’s expansion to over 10 million subscribers with roughly $11–18 billion in trailing revenue, and SpaceX’s launch-market dominance support this valuation despite elevated multiples near 95–100x sales. Analyst skepticism, including Morningstar’s view that fair value sits near half the IPO price, highlights risks from Starship development costs and addressable-market uncertainty. Post-IPO trading volume, first earnings release, and any shifts in Fed policy or risk appetite could introduce volatility around these levels.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$239,447Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion market capitalization and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 91.4% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Strong institutional demand, Starlink’s expansion to over 10 million subscribers with roughly $11–18 billion in trailing revenue, and SpaceX’s launch-market dominance support this valuation despite elevated multiples near 95–100x sales. Analyst skepticism, including Morningstar’s view that fair value sits near half the IPO price, highlights risks from Starship development costs and addressable-market uncertainty. Post-IPO trading volume, first earnings release, and any shifts in Fed policy or risk appetite could introduce volatility around these levels.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$239,447Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion market capitalization and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 91.4% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Strong institutional demand, Starlink’s expansion to over 10 million subscribers with roughly $11–18 billion in trailing revenue, and SpaceX’s launch-market dominance support this valuation despite elevated multiples near 95–100x sales. Analyst skepticism, including Morningstar’s view that fair value sits near half the IPO price, highlights risks from Starship development costs and addressable-market uncertainty. Post-IPO trading volume, first earnings release, and any shifts in Fed policy or risk appetite could introduce volatility around these levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы