SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation through a record $75 billion raise, anchors the overwhelming 92.8% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T outcome. This consensus reflects the company’s finalized terms, robust oversubscription driven by Starlink’s $18.7 billion 2025 revenue contribution (nearly 70% of total), subscriber growth to 10.3 million, and strategic positioning in satellite connectivity and Starship development, despite operating losses exceeding $4 billion amid heavy investment and an xAI integration. High revenue multiples near 93x underscore growth expectations. Post-IPO trading volatility, regulatory scrutiny, or weaker-than-anticipated execution on launch cadence and margins represent the primary risks that could shift final assessed valuation outside the leading band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
1,75–2,00 трлн 97.4%
1,50-1,75 трлн 5.5%
2,00–2,25 трлн 1.4%
2,25–2,50 трлн <1%
$239,497 Объем
$239,497 Объем
<1,25 трлн
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
<1%
1,50-1,75 трлн
6%
1,75–2,00 трлн
94%
2,00–2,25 трлн
1%
2,25–2,50 трлн
<1%
2,50T+
<1%
1,75–2,00 трлн 97.4%
1,50-1,75 трлн 5.5%
2,00–2,25 трлн 1.4%
2,25–2,50 трлн <1%
$239,497 Объем
$239,497 Объем
<1,25 трлн
$71,614 Объем
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
$23,306 Объем
<1%
1,50-1,75 трлн
$22,364 Объем
6%
1,75–2,00 трлн
$49,437 Объем
94%
2,00–2,25 трлн
$26,788 Объем
1%
2,25–2,50 трлн
$19,265 Объем
<1%
2,50T+
$26,808 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation through a record $75 billion raise, anchors the overwhelming 92.8% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T outcome. This consensus reflects the company’s finalized terms, robust oversubscription driven by Starlink’s $18.7 billion 2025 revenue contribution (nearly 70% of total), subscriber growth to 10.3 million, and strategic positioning in satellite connectivity and Starship development, despite operating losses exceeding $4 billion amid heavy investment and an xAI integration. High revenue multiples near 93x underscore growth expectations. Post-IPO trading volatility, regulatory scrutiny, or weaker-than-anticipated execution on launch cadence and margins represent the primary risks that could shift final assessed valuation outside the leading band.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$239,497Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation through a record $75 billion raise, anchors the overwhelming 92.8% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T outcome. This consensus reflects the company’s finalized terms, robust oversubscription driven by Starlink’s $18.7 billion 2025 revenue contribution (nearly 70% of total), subscriber growth to 10.3 million, and strategic positioning in satellite connectivity and Starship development, despite operating losses exceeding $4 billion amid heavy investment and an xAI integration. High revenue multiples near 93x underscore growth expectations. Post-IPO trading volatility, regulatory scrutiny, or weaker-than-anticipated execution on launch cadence and margins represent the primary risks that could shift final assessed valuation outside the leading band.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$239,497Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation through a record $75 billion raise, anchors the overwhelming 92.8% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T outcome. This consensus reflects the company’s finalized terms, robust oversubscription driven by Starlink’s $18.7 billion 2025 revenue contribution (nearly 70% of total), subscriber growth to 10.3 million, and strategic positioning in satellite connectivity and Starship development, despite operating losses exceeding $4 billion amid heavy investment and an xAI integration. High revenue multiples near 93x underscore growth expectations. Post-IPO trading volatility, regulatory scrutiny, or weaker-than-anticipated execution on launch cadence and margins represent the primary risks that could shift final assessed valuation outside the leading band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы