SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 93.7% market-implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s confidential S-1 filing, strong Starlink revenue trajectory exceeding $18 billion in 2025, and sustained government and commercial launch contracts that support elevated multiples despite reported operating losses. Trader positioning also incorporates the abbreviated roadshow and fixed-price structure, which reduced uncertainty ahead of the June 12 listing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected post-pricing market volatility affecting final valuation bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
1,75–2,00 трлн 97.4%
1,50-1,75 трлн 4.7%
2,00–2,25 трлн 1.3%
2,25–2,50 трлн <1%
$239,866 Объем
$239,866 Объем
<1,25 трлн
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
<1%
1,50-1,75 трлн
5%
1,75–2,00 трлн
94%
2,00–2,25 трлн
1%
2,25–2,50 трлн
<1%
2,50T+
<1%
1,75–2,00 трлн 97.4%
1,50-1,75 трлн 4.7%
2,00–2,25 трлн 1.3%
2,25–2,50 трлн <1%
$239,866 Объем
$239,866 Объем
<1,25 трлн
$71,614 Объем
<1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
$23,306 Объем
<1%
1,50-1,75 трлн
$22,648 Объем
5%
1,75–2,00 трлн
$49,437 Объем
94%
2,00–2,25 трлн
$26,788 Объем
1%
2,25–2,50 трлн
$19,265 Объем
<1%
2,50T+
$26,808 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 93.7% market-implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s confidential S-1 filing, strong Starlink revenue trajectory exceeding $18 billion in 2025, and sustained government and commercial launch contracts that support elevated multiples despite reported operating losses. Trader positioning also incorporates the abbreviated roadshow and fixed-price structure, which reduced uncertainty ahead of the June 12 listing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected post-pricing market volatility affecting final valuation bands.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$239,866Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 93.7% market-implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s confidential S-1 filing, strong Starlink revenue trajectory exceeding $18 billion in 2025, and sustained government and commercial launch contracts that support elevated multiples despite reported operating losses. Trader positioning also incorporates the abbreviated roadshow and fixed-price structure, which reduced uncertainty ahead of the June 12 listing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected post-pricing market volatility affecting final valuation bands.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$239,866Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 93.7% market-implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s confidential S-1 filing, strong Starlink revenue trajectory exceeding $18 billion in 2025, and sustained government and commercial launch contracts that support elevated multiples despite reported operating losses. Trader positioning also incorporates the abbreviated roadshow and fixed-price structure, which reduced uncertainty ahead of the June 12 listing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected post-pricing market volatility affecting final valuation bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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