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Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?

icon for Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?

Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?

1,75–2,00 трлн 91.3%

1,50-1,75 трлн 8.4%

2,00–2,25 трлн 2.4%

2,25–2,50 трлн <1%

Polymarket

$239,447 Объем

1,75–2,00 трлн 91.3%

1,50-1,75 трлн 8.4%

2,00–2,25 трлн 2.4%

2,25–2,50 трлн <1%

Polymarket

$239,447 Объем

<1,25 трлн

$71,614 Объем

<1%

1,25–1,50 трлн

$23,306 Объем

<1%

1,50-1,75 трлн

$22,317 Объем

9%

1,75–2,00 трлн

$49,370 Объем

91%

2,00–2,25 трлн

$26,778 Объем

2%

2,25–2,50 трлн

$19,255 Объем

<1%

2,50T+

$26,808 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion market capitalization and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 91.4% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Strong institutional demand, Starlink’s expansion to over 10 million subscribers with roughly $11–18 billion in trailing revenue, and SpaceX’s launch-market dominance support this valuation despite elevated multiples near 95–100x sales. Analyst skepticism, including Morningstar’s view that fair value sits near half the IPO price, highlights risks from Starship development costs and addressable-market uncertainty. Post-IPO trading volume, first earnings release, and any shifts in Fed policy or risk appetite could introduce volatility around these levels.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$239,447
Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion market capitalization and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 91.4% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Strong institutional demand, Starlink’s expansion to over 10 million subscribers with roughly $11–18 billion in trailing revenue, and SpaceX’s launch-market dominance support this valuation despite elevated multiples near 95–100x sales. Analyst skepticism, including Morningstar’s view that fair value sits near half the IPO price, highlights risks from Starship development costs and addressable-market uncertainty. Post-IPO trading volume, first earnings release, and any shifts in Fed policy or risk appetite could introduce volatility around these levels.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$239,447
Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «1,75–2,00 трлн» с 91%, за ним следует «1,50-1,75 трлн» с 9%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 91¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $239.4K с момента запуска рынка Mar 25, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?» — «1,75–2,00 трлн» с 91%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1,50-1,75 трлн» с 9%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.