Recent pledges by Anthropic and OpenAI to embed independent third-party evaluators with ongoing, employee-level access to frontier models and training processes have sharpened focus on the October 31 deadline. Dario Amodei’s mid-September proposal, quickly echoed by Sam Altman, highlighted competitive dynamics among leading labs while exposing gaps at Google DeepMind, Meta, Microsoft, and xAI, where market-implied odds remain low. Regulatory momentum from California’s new verification framework and the proposed FRONTIER Act adds pressure for verifiable commitments, though experts stress the need for genuine independence, transparency, and publication rights to meet credible standards. Traders are watching for further official announcements or industry coordination before the cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие лаборатории ИИ обязуются провести проверку третьей стороной к 31 октября?
Какие лаборатории ИИ обязуются провести проверку третьей стороной к 31 октября?
$64,802 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
30%
SpaceXAI
20%
Microsoft
20%
Meta
20%
Амазон
18%
Mistral
15%
ByteDance
9%
Alibaba
7%
Z.ai
7%
Baidu
7%
DeepSeek
6%
Meituan
6%
Moonshot
2%
$64,802 Объем
$12,694 Объем
30%
SpaceXAI
$5,108 Объем
20%
Microsoft
$6,711 Объем
20%
Meta
$3,459 Объем
20%
Амазон
$6,986 Объем
18%
Mistral
$6,180 Объем
15%
ByteDance
$3,508 Объем
9%
Alibaba
$3,834 Объем
7%
Z.ai
$1,393 Объем
7%
Baidu
$430 Объем
7%
DeepSeek
$2,858 Объем
6%
Meituan
$600 Объем
6%
Moonshot
$11,041 Объем
2%
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent pledges by Anthropic and OpenAI to embed independent third-party evaluators with ongoing, employee-level access to frontier models and training processes have sharpened focus on the October 31 deadline. Dario Amodei’s mid-September proposal, quickly echoed by Sam Altman, highlighted competitive dynamics among leading labs while exposing gaps at Google DeepMind, Meta, Microsoft, and xAI, where market-implied odds remain low. Regulatory momentum from California’s new verification framework and the proposed FRONTIER Act adds pressure for verifiable commitments, though experts stress the need for genuine independence, transparency, and publication rights to meet credible standards. Traders are watching for further official announcements or industry coordination before the cutoff.
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Объем
$64,802Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent pledges by Anthropic and OpenAI to embed independent third-party evaluators with ongoing, employee-level access to frontier models and training processes have sharpened focus on the October 31 deadline. Dario Amodei’s mid-September proposal, quickly echoed by Sam Altman, highlighted competitive dynamics among leading labs while exposing gaps at Google DeepMind, Meta, Microsoft, and xAI, where market-implied odds remain low. Regulatory momentum from California’s new verification framework and the proposed FRONTIER Act adds pressure for verifiable commitments, though experts stress the need for genuine independence, transparency, and publication rights to meet credible standards. Traders are watching for further official announcements or industry coordination before the cutoff.
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$64,802Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent pledges by Anthropic and OpenAI to embed independent third-party evaluators with ongoing, employee-level access to frontier models and training processes have sharpened focus on the October 31 deadline. Dario Amodei’s mid-September proposal, quickly echoed by Sam Altman, highlighted competitive dynamics among leading labs while exposing gaps at Google DeepMind, Meta, Microsoft, and xAI, where market-implied odds remain low. Regulatory momentum from California’s new verification framework and the proposed FRONTIER Act adds pressure for verifiable commitments, though experts stress the need for genuine independence, transparency, and publication rights to meet credible standards. Traders are watching for further official announcements or industry coordination before the cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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