**Trader consensus on “No” at 90.6% reflects the limited time remaining before 2027 and the absence of credible near-term normalization deals.** Saudi Arabia, the highest-profile potential addition, continues to condition any agreement on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood—a position unchanged despite U.S. pressure, including President Trump’s July 2026 statement linking a civilian nuclear cooperation pact to Abraham Accords accession. The formal nuclear agreement text submitted to Congress contains no such requirement, and related arms sales have advanced independently. Speculation about smaller candidates such as Kuwait has surfaced, with Israel’s ambassador to the UAE suggesting in mid-September 2026 that a new member could join within four to six months—placing any potential signing after the 2026 deadline. Existing Accords partners have focused on deepening bilateral ties (e.g., Israel-Morocco embassy upgrades and direct flights announced in September 2026) rather than expanding membership. Broader regional dynamics, including Houthi threats and Saudi alignment moves with Turkey and Pakistan, have not produced the diplomatic breakthroughs needed for new accessions in the remaining months of 2026. These factors collectively support the market’s strong lean toward no new signatory before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрисоединится ли новая страна к Соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?
Присоединится ли новая страна к Соглашениям Авраама до 2027 года?
Да
9% вероятность
$307,215 Объем
$307,215 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
9% вероятность
$307,215 Объем
$307,215 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on “No” at 90.6% reflects the limited time remaining before 2027 and the absence of credible near-term normalization deals.** Saudi Arabia, the highest-profile potential addition, continues to condition any agreement on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood—a position unchanged despite U.S. pressure, including President Trump’s July 2026 statement linking a civilian nuclear cooperation pact to Abraham Accords accession. The formal nuclear agreement text submitted to Congress contains no such requirement, and related arms sales have advanced independently.
Speculation about smaller candidates such as Kuwait has surfaced, with Israel’s ambassador to the UAE suggesting in mid-September 2026 that a new member could join within four to six months—placing any potential signing after the 2026 deadline. Existing Accords partners have focused on deepening bilateral ties (e.g., Israel-Morocco embassy upgrades and direct flights announced in September 2026) rather than expanding membership. Broader regional dynamics, including Houthi threats and Saudi alignment moves with Turkey and Pakistan, have not produced the diplomatic breakthroughs needed for new accessions in the remaining months of 2026. These factors collectively support the market’s strong lean toward no new signatory before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
Объем
$307,215Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on “No” at 90.6% reflects the limited time remaining before 2027 and the absence of credible near-term normalization deals.** Saudi Arabia, the highest-profile potential addition, continues to condition any agreement on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood—a position unchanged despite U.S. pressure, including President Trump’s July 2026 statement linking a civilian nuclear cooperation pact to Abraham Accords accession. The formal nuclear agreement text submitted to Congress contains no such requirement, and related arms sales have advanced independently.
Speculation about smaller candidates such as Kuwait has surfaced, with Israel’s ambassador to the UAE suggesting in mid-September 2026 that a new member could join within four to six months—placing any potential signing after the 2026 deadline. Existing Accords partners have focused on deepening bilateral ties (e.g., Israel-Morocco embassy upgrades and direct flights announced in September 2026) rather than expanding membership. Broader regional dynamics, including Houthi threats and Saudi alignment moves with Turkey and Pakistan, have not produced the diplomatic breakthroughs needed for new accessions in the remaining months of 2026. These factors collectively support the market’s strong lean toward no new signatory before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$307,215Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on “No” at 90.6% reflects the limited time remaining before 2027 and the absence of credible near-term normalization deals.** Saudi Arabia, the highest-profile potential addition, continues to condition any agreement on credible progress toward Palestinian statehood—a position unchanged despite U.S. pressure, including President Trump’s July 2026 statement linking a civilian nuclear cooperation pact to Abraham Accords accession. The formal nuclear agreement text submitted to Congress contains no such requirement, and related arms sales have advanced independently. Speculation about smaller candidates such as Kuwait has surfaced, with Israel’s ambassador to the UAE suggesting in mid-September 2026 that a new member could join within four to six months—placing any potential signing after the 2026 deadline. Existing Accords partners have focused on deepening bilateral ties (e.g., Israel-Morocco embassy upgrades and direct flights announced in September 2026) rather than expanding membership. Broader regional dynamics, including Houthi threats and Saudi alignment moves with Turkey and Pakistan, have not produced the diplomatic breakthroughs needed for new accessions in the remaining months of 2026. These factors collectively support the market’s strong lean toward no new signatory before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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