**Florida Republican gubernatorial primary results show James Fishback receiving roughly 10% of the vote, placing him well behind frontrunner Byron Donalds (projected winner at ~48%) and Jay Collins (~25%).** The August 18 primary determined the GOP nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis. Fishback, a political newcomer and long-shot candidate, had earlier survived a July 2026 residency challenge filed by Collins, which a Leon County judge rejected, keeping him on the ballot. With votes still being tallied on August 19 and no reported concession statement from Fishback, trader consensus on rapid concession timing incorporates these vote shares, historical patterns for trailing primary candidates, and the absence of any ongoing legal or recount activity. Upcoming factors that could influence timing include official certification of results and any public statements from Fishback or his campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
18 августа
100%
19 августа
100%
20 августа
100%
$802 Объем
18 августа
$109 Объем
100%
19 августа
$490 Объем
100%
20 августа
$203 Объем
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. **Florida Republican gubernatorial primary results show James Fishback receiving roughly 10% of the vote, placing him well behind frontrunner Byron Donalds (projected winner at ~48%) and Jay Collins (~25%).** The August 18 primary determined the GOP nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis. Fishback, a political newcomer and long-shot candidate, had earlier survived a July 2026 residency challenge filed by Collins, which a Leon County judge rejected, keeping him on the ballot. With votes still being tallied on August 19 and no reported concession statement from Fishback, trader consensus on rapid concession timing incorporates these vote shares, historical patterns for trailing primary candidates, and the absence of any ongoing legal or recount activity. Upcoming factors that could influence timing include official certification of results and any public statements from Fishback or his campaign.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Объем
$802Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. **Florida Republican gubernatorial primary results show James Fishback receiving roughly 10% of the vote, placing him well behind frontrunner Byron Donalds (projected winner at ~48%) and Jay Collins (~25%).** The August 18 primary determined the GOP nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis. Fishback, a political newcomer and long-shot candidate, had earlier survived a July 2026 residency challenge filed by Collins, which a Leon County judge rejected, keeping him on the ballot. With votes still being tallied on August 19 and no reported concession statement from Fishback, trader consensus on rapid concession timing incorporates these vote shares, historical patterns for trailing primary candidates, and the absence of any ongoing legal or recount activity. Upcoming factors that could influence timing include official certification of results and any public statements from Fishback or his campaign.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Объем
$802Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Florida Republican gubernatorial primary results show James Fishback receiving roughly 10% of the vote, placing him well behind frontrunner Byron Donalds (projected winner at ~48%) and Jay Collins (~25%).** The August 18 primary determined the GOP nominee to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis. Fishback, a political newcomer and long-shot candidate, had earlier survived a July 2026 residency challenge filed by Collins, which a Leon County judge rejected, keeping him on the ballot. With votes still being tallied on August 19 and no reported concession statement from Fishback, trader consensus on rapid concession timing incorporates these vote shares, historical patterns for trailing primary candidates, and the absence of any ongoing legal or recount activity. Upcoming factors that could influence timing include official certification of results and any public statements from Fishback or his campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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