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icon for Упомянет ли Петр Гитлера снова к 30 июня?

Упомянет ли Петр Гитлера снова к 30 июня?

icon for Упомянет ли Петр Гитлера снова к 30 июня?

Упомянет ли Петр Гитлера снова к 30 июня?

Да

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$13,586 Объем

Да

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$13,586 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s recent public use of the phrase “Heil Hitler” on social media has reinforced trader expectations that similar references will recur before the June 30 deadline. His established pattern of invoking Nazi-era comparisons when addressing domestic opponents, media commentary, and international figures has kept such rhetoric in circulation amid ongoing political debates and a scheduled runoff vote. With Petro remaining active on official platforms and in public statements through the final weeks of his term, market pricing at 99.7% for Yes reflects the low probability of an abrupt shift away from this style of discourse. The only realistic paths to a No resolution would require Petro to maintain complete public silence on contentious topics or redirect all commentary away from historical analogies for the remainder of the month.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context.

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.
Объем
$13,586
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s recent public use of the phrase “Heil Hitler” on social media has reinforced trader expectations that similar references will recur before the June 30 deadline. His established pattern of invoking Nazi-era comparisons when addressing domestic opponents, media commentary, and international figures has kept such rhetoric in circulation amid ongoing political debates and a scheduled runoff vote. With Petro remaining active on official platforms and in public statements through the final weeks of his term, market pricing at 99.7% for Yes reflects the low probability of an abrupt shift away from this style of discourse. The only realistic paths to a No resolution would require Petro to maintain complete public silence on contentious topics or redirect all commentary away from historical analogies for the remainder of the month.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context.

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.
Объем
$13,586
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Упомянет ли Петр Гитлера снова к 30 июня?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Упомянет ли Пётр снова Гитлера до 30 июня?» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

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Текущий фаворит для «Упомянет ли Петр Гитлера снова к 30 июня?» — «Упомянет ли Пётр снова Гитлера до 30 июня?» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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