Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$3,726 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
April 30
No
May 15
No
May 31
No
$3,726 ปริมาณ
April 30
$178 ปริมาณ
No
May 15
$1,436 ปริมาณ
No
May 31
$2,112 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,726วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,726วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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