Traders assign a 99.2% probability that Bill Gates will not face charges by June 30, reflecting the absence of any active criminal investigations, indictments, or pending proceedings that would support such an outcome. No recent announcements from federal or state prosecutors have signaled imminent legal action, and established charging processes require documented evidence and review that have not materialized in this case. Historical patterns of similar matters show that rapid escalation to formal charges within weeks is rare absent prior public developments. Scenarios that could still alter the outlook include new disclosures from ongoing civil litigation or an unanticipated investigation initiated by authorities before the deadline.