Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Bull Run Parlay heavily favors "No" at 84.5% implied probability, driven by the low likelihood all three 2026 conditions materialize: Elon Musk's net worth hitting $1 trillion per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Tesla's Q1 deliveries missed estimates at 358,000 vehicles versus 366,000 expected, pressuring stock performance and Musk's ~$800 billion fortune amid EV market headwinds and delayed robotaxi ramps. No credible reports of a new Musk baby have emerged, while Starship's early-2026 cadence lags the aggressive 9-launch threshold despite test successes. SpaceX's rumored $1.75 trillion IPO filing offers upside for net worth, but Q1 earnings on April 22 and launch milestones remain key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Bull Run Parlay heavily favors "No" at 84.5% implied probability, driven by the low likelihood all three 2026 conditions materialize: Elon Musk's net worth hitting $1 trillion per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Tesla's Q1 deliveries missed estimates at 358,000 vehicles versus 366,000 expected, pressuring stock performance and Musk's ~$800 billion fortune amid EV market headwinds and delayed robotaxi ramps. No credible reports of a new Musk baby have emerged, while Starship's early-2026 cadence lags the aggressive 9-launch threshold despite test successes. SpaceX's rumored $1.75 trillion IPO filing offers upside for net worth, but Q1 earnings on April 22 and launch milestones remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,514วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Bull Run Parlay heavily favors "No" at 84.5% implied probability, driven by the low likelihood all three 2026 conditions materialize: Elon Musk's net worth hitting $1 trillion per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Tesla's Q1 deliveries missed estimates at 358,000 vehicles versus 366,000 expected, pressuring stock performance and Musk's ~$800 billion fortune amid EV market headwinds and delayed robotaxi ramps. No credible reports of a new Musk baby have emerged, while Starship's early-2026 cadence lags the aggressive 9-launch threshold despite test successes. SpaceX's rumored $1.75 trillion IPO filing offers upside for net worth, but Q1 earnings on April 22 and launch milestones remain key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,514วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Bull Run Parlay heavily favors "No" at 84.5% implied probability, driven by the low likelihood all three 2026 conditions materialize: Elon Musk's net worth hitting $1 trillion per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirmation of another child, and 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Tesla's Q1 deliveries missed estimates at 358,000 vehicles versus 366,000 expected, pressuring stock performance and Musk's ~$800 billion fortune amid EV market headwinds and delayed robotaxi ramps. No credible reports of a new Musk baby have emerged, while Starship's early-2026 cadence lags the aggressive 9-launch threshold despite test successes. SpaceX's rumored $1.75 trillion IPO filing offers upside for net worth, but Q1 earnings on April 22 and launch milestones remain key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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