Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz at 58% implied probability in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his fundraising edge—over $1 million cash-on-hand entering 2026—and strong name recognition in the D+2 district spanning northern Broward County. Progressive challenger Oliver Adams Larkin commands 38.5% on momentum from recent endorsements by Democratic Socialists of America chapters and Progressive Democrats of America in early April, plus a March Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him leading after balanced voter bios. Larkin's grassroots haul surpassing $325,000 from 5,000 donors underscores left-wing dissatisfaction with Moskowitz's AIPAC ties and Israel policy votes, though no neutral polls exist ahead of the August 18 closed primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
$13,999 ปริมาณ
$13,999 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
57%
Oliver Adams Larkin
37%
$13,999 ปริมาณ
$13,999 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$4,980 ปริมาณ
57%
Oliver Adams Larkin
$9,019 ปริมาณ
37%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz at 58% implied probability in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his fundraising edge—over $1 million cash-on-hand entering 2026—and strong name recognition in the D+2 district spanning northern Broward County. Progressive challenger Oliver Adams Larkin commands 38.5% on momentum from recent endorsements by Democratic Socialists of America chapters and Progressive Democrats of America in early April, plus a March Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him leading after balanced voter bios. Larkin's grassroots haul surpassing $325,000 from 5,000 donors underscores left-wing dissatisfaction with Moskowitz's AIPAC ties and Israel policy votes, though no neutral polls exist ahead of the August 18 closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,999วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz at 58% implied probability in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his fundraising edge—over $1 million cash-on-hand entering 2026—and strong name recognition in the D+2 district spanning northern Broward County. Progressive challenger Oliver Adams Larkin commands 38.5% on momentum from recent endorsements by Democratic Socialists of America chapters and Progressive Democrats of America in early April, plus a March Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him leading after balanced voter bios. Larkin's grassroots haul surpassing $325,000 from 5,000 donors underscores left-wing dissatisfaction with Moskowitz's AIPAC ties and Israel policy votes, though no neutral polls exist ahead of the August 18 closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,999วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz at 58% implied probability in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his fundraising edge—over $1 million cash-on-hand entering 2026—and strong name recognition in the D+2 district spanning northern Broward County. Progressive challenger Oliver Adams Larkin commands 38.5% on momentum from recent endorsements by Democratic Socialists of America chapters and Progressive Democrats of America in early April, plus a March Center for Strategic Politics poll showing him leading after balanced voter bios. Larkin's grassroots haul surpassing $325,000 from 5,000 donors underscores left-wing dissatisfaction with Moskowitz's AIPAC ties and Israel policy votes, though no neutral polls exist ahead of the August 18 closed primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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