Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb's late 2025 entry into the open AZ-05 Republican primary rapidly established him as the frontrunner, with early internal polls showing him at 54 percent support among likely GOP voters compared to single-digit shares for rivals. His November 2025 endorsement from President Trump further consolidated backing in the deeply Republican East Valley district, where the primary effectively decides the general election outcome. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham have remained marginal despite name recognition and prior announcements, with limited polling movement or fundraising traction since Lamb's arrival. The July 21, 2026 primary date keeps focus on voter consolidation around the sheriff, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring Lamb while assigning low implied probabilities to the other listed contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMark Lamb 62.0%
Jay Feely 6.0%
Travis Grantham 2.5%
$50,045 ปริมาณ
$50,045 ปริมาณ
Mark Lamb
60%
Jay Feely
6%
Travis Grantham
2%
Mark Lamb 62.0%
Jay Feely 6.0%
Travis Grantham 2.5%
$50,045 ปริมาณ
$50,045 ปริมาณ
Mark Lamb
60%
Jay Feely
6%
Travis Grantham
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb's late 2025 entry into the open AZ-05 Republican primary rapidly established him as the frontrunner, with early internal polls showing him at 54 percent support among likely GOP voters compared to single-digit shares for rivals. His November 2025 endorsement from President Trump further consolidated backing in the deeply Republican East Valley district, where the primary effectively decides the general election outcome. Jay Feely and Travis Grantham have remained marginal despite name recognition and prior announcements, with limited polling movement or fundraising traction since Lamb's arrival. The July 21, 2026 primary date keeps focus on voter consolidation around the sheriff, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring Lamb while assigning low implied probabilities to the other listed contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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