**Cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rates tracked by CDC FluSurv-NET have risen steadily through spring 2026 but show clear signs of plateauing as seasonal activity reaches minimal levels.** By Week 22 (ending June 6), the weekly rate stood at just 0.1 per 100,000 population with only 0.9% positivity in clinical labs, 1.4% ILI visits, and 0.2% flu-coded ED visits, consistent with off-season patterns after a moderately severe 2025–2026 season that produced a cumulative rate of 87.5 per 100,000. With Week 24 falling in mid-June, additional hospitalizations are expected to remain negligible, keeping the final cumulative figure near current levels around 87–88. Historical data show rates typically add less than 1 per 100,000 after May, supporting tight clustering among the 80–95 ranges. Model ensembles from FluSight and recent surveillance confirm the downward trajectory with no late resurgence signals, though minor reporting lags or isolated clusters could produce small upward revisions. Traders appear to weigh these low-activity dynamics against the precise final tally, producing closely matched probabilities across adjacent bins. Upcoming Week 23–24 FluView releases will provide the decisive data points for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 24, 2026?
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$4,630 ปริมาณ
$4,630 ปริมาณ
<80
No
80–85
No
85–90
Yes
90–95
No
95–100
No
100+
No
85–90 100.0%
<80 <1%
80–85 <1%
90–95 <1%
$4,630 ปริมาณ
$4,630 ปริมาณ
<80
No
80–85
No
85–90
Yes
90–95
No
95–100
No
100+
No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 21, 2026, 2:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rates tracked by CDC FluSurv-NET have risen steadily through spring 2026 but show clear signs of plateauing as seasonal activity reaches minimal levels.** By Week 22 (ending June 6), the weekly rate stood at just 0.1 per 100,000 population with only 0.9% positivity in clinical labs, 1.4% ILI visits, and 0.2% flu-coded ED visits, consistent with off-season patterns after a moderately severe 2025–2026 season that produced a cumulative rate of 87.5 per 100,000. With Week 24 falling in mid-June, additional hospitalizations are expected to remain negligible, keeping the final cumulative figure near current levels around 87–88. Historical data show rates typically add less than 1 per 100,000 after May, supporting tight clustering among the 80–95 ranges. Model ensembles from FluSight and recent surveillance confirm the downward trajectory with no late resurgence signals, though minor reporting lags or isolated clusters could produce small upward revisions. Traders appear to weigh these low-activity dynamics against the precise final tally, producing closely matched probabilities across adjacent bins. Upcoming Week 23–24 FluView releases will provide the decisive data points for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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