Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on April 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 16?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 ปริมาณ
$102,217 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 ปริมาณ
$102,217 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
14°C or below
$686 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,566 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,227 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$3,932 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$5,186 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$17,060 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$9,920 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$27,084 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$12,491 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$16,569 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$5,494 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,217วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,217วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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