Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently converge on a Houston high near 92–93°F for July 11, reflecting typical mid-July climatology of 93–94°F amid a broad subtropical ridge. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development remain the chief variables that could cap temperatures in the 90–91°F range, while clearer skies or delayed convection would support readings near or slightly above 94°F. High dew points near 75°F and light southerly flow limit radiative cooling overnight but also cap extreme heating through added moisture and cloud cover. With market-implied odds split across the low-90s bins, traders are pricing modest forecast uncertainty typical of single-day temperature resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on July 11?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 11?
88-89°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$39,798 ปริมาณ
$39,798 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$39,798 ปริมาณ
$39,798 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
81°F or below
$941 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$1,255 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$5,340 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$4,288 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$5,820 ปริมาณ
Yes
90-91°F
$3,811 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$5,765 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$4,246 ปริมาณ
No
96-97°F
$3,502 ปริมาณ
No
98-99°F
$3,939 ปริมาณ
No
100°F or higher
$890 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently converge on a Houston high near 92–93°F for July 11, reflecting typical mid-July climatology of 93–94°F amid a broad subtropical ridge. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development remain the chief variables that could cap temperatures in the 90–91°F range, while clearer skies or delayed convection would support readings near or slightly above 94°F. High dew points near 75°F and light southerly flow limit radiative cooling overnight but also cap extreme heating through added moisture and cloud cover. With market-implied odds split across the low-90s bins, traders are pricing modest forecast uncertainty typical of single-day temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,798วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently converge on a Houston high near 92–93°F for July 11, reflecting typical mid-July climatology of 93–94°F amid a broad subtropical ridge. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development remain the chief variables that could cap temperatures in the 90–91°F range, while clearer skies or delayed convection would support readings near or slightly above 94°F. High dew points near 75°F and light southerly flow limit radiative cooling overnight but also cap extreme heating through added moisture and cloud cover. With market-implied odds split across the low-90s bins, traders are pricing modest forecast uncertainty typical of single-day temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,798วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently converge on a Houston high near 92–93°F for July 11, reflecting typical mid-July climatology of 93–94°F amid a broad subtropical ridge. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development remain the chief variables that could cap temperatures in the 90–91°F range, while clearer skies or delayed convection would support readings near or slightly above 94°F. High dew points near 75°F and light southerly flow limit radiative cooling overnight but also cap extreme heating through added moisture and cloud cover. With market-implied odds split across the low-90s bins, traders are pricing modest forecast uncertainty typical of single-day temperature resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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