Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,923 ปริมาณ
$78,923 ปริมาณ
May 10, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,923 ปริมาณ
$78,923 ปริมาณ
May 10, 2026
17°C or below
$4,402 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,131 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$4,591 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$9,030 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$7,024 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$10,254 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$10,804 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$13,445 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$7,621 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,216 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$4,405 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,923วันสิ้นสุด
May 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,923วันสิ้นสุด
May 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย