Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 69°F or below in Austin on April 20, 2026, reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), which recorded a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent overcast skies, light rain, and mist from a lingering frontal boundary. Low-level moisture trapped by the stalled front sharply reduced insolation, capping daytime heating below forecast expectations of near 69°F and keeping hourly readings between 55°F and 61°F. This positioning aligns with ASOS data showing 0.03 inches of precipitation and mostly cloudy conditions throughout the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from NWS final summaries, though such adjustments are minimal for routine temperature records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on April 20?
69°F or below 100.0%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$104,740 ปริมาณ
$104,740 ปริมาณ
69°F or below
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
69°F or below 100.0%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$104,740 ปริมาณ
$104,740 ปริมาณ
69°F or below
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 69°F or below in Austin on April 20, 2026, reflecting confirmed National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), which recorded a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent overcast skies, light rain, and mist from a lingering frontal boundary. Low-level moisture trapped by the stalled front sharply reduced insolation, capping daytime heating below forecast expectations of near 69°F and keeping hourly readings between 55°F and 61°F. This positioning aligns with ASOS data showing 0.03 inches of precipitation and mostly cloudy conditions throughout the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare preliminary data revisions from NWS final summaries, though such adjustments are minimal for routine temperature records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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