Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on May 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 9?
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$120,799 ปริมาณ
$120,799 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$120,799 ปริมาณ
$120,799 ปริมาณ
May 9, 2026
22°C or below
$18,064 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$19,717 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$12,951 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$10,871 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$9,026 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$10,681 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$10,146 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$8,272 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$8,628 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$4,964 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$7,479 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$120,799วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$120,799วันสิ้นสุด
May 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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