Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 1?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,948 ปริมาณ
$92,948 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,948 ปริมาณ
$92,948 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
17°C or below
$4,989 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$5,141 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$8,894 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$8,845 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$7,918 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$11,839 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$19,036 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$11,775 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$5,316 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,592 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$5,603 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,948วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,948วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and real-time observations peg Busan's highest temperature on May 1 at 23–24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 24°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and 20% precipitation odds that have capped peak heating from a lingering cool air mass. Hourly readings aligned precisely with model guidance, peaking near 23°C by mid-afternoon under suppressed solar insolation below seasonal norms for early May, when historical averages hover around 20–22°C. This trader consensus reflects strong alignment between official data and skin-in-the-game positioning. A late-day clearing or wind shift could push above 25°C, though diminishing sun angle and overcast persistence make it improbable; final KMA station measurements will confirm resolution by midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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