Recent South African Weather Service guidance points to partly cloudy and cool conditions across the Western Cape through July 20, with official model runs supporting daytime maxima clustered near the seasonal average of 17 °C. This keeps the market focused on the tightly bunched 16–18 °C outcomes, where small differences in cloud cover, wind strength from the Atlantic, or the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. The Benguela Current’s cooling influence and typical mid-winter radiative cooling under clear spells further narrow the expected range, while longer-range ensemble spread prevents stronger consensus on an 18 °C or higher reading. Updated SAWS briefings and local model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any odds movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 20?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 20?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$53,833 ปริมาณ
$53,833 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$53,833 ปริมาณ
$53,833 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
11°C or below
$202 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$281 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,902 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$3,475 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$3,995 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$17,174 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$6,521 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$7,099 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,026 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,168 ปริมาณ
No
21°C or higher
$7,989 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service guidance points to partly cloudy and cool conditions across the Western Cape through July 20, with official model runs supporting daytime maxima clustered near the seasonal average of 17 °C. This keeps the market focused on the tightly bunched 16–18 °C outcomes, where small differences in cloud cover, wind strength from the Atlantic, or the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. The Benguela Current’s cooling influence and typical mid-winter radiative cooling under clear spells further narrow the expected range, while longer-range ensemble spread prevents stronger consensus on an 18 °C or higher reading. Updated SAWS briefings and local model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,833วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service guidance points to partly cloudy and cool conditions across the Western Cape through July 20, with official model runs supporting daytime maxima clustered near the seasonal average of 17 °C. This keeps the market focused on the tightly bunched 16–18 °C outcomes, where small differences in cloud cover, wind strength from the Atlantic, or the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. The Benguela Current’s cooling influence and typical mid-winter radiative cooling under clear spells further narrow the expected range, while longer-range ensemble spread prevents stronger consensus on an 18 °C or higher reading. Updated SAWS briefings and local model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,833วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 1:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent South African Weather Service guidance points to partly cloudy and cool conditions across the Western Cape through July 20, with official model runs supporting daytime maxima clustered near the seasonal average of 17 °C. This keeps the market focused on the tightly bunched 16–18 °C outcomes, where small differences in cloud cover, wind strength from the Atlantic, or the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. The Benguela Current’s cooling influence and typical mid-winter radiative cooling under clear spells further narrow the expected range, while longer-range ensemble spread prevents stronger consensus on an 18 °C or higher reading. Updated SAWS briefings and local model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any odds movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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