**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 8 maximum temperature centers on 18–20°C outcomes because these align closely with July climatology and short-term ensemble guidance showing typical winter conditions.** Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily ranges commonly spanning 14–19°C according to long-term records and 2026 monthly outlooks. Modest warming potential exists if clearer skies boost daytime insolation or lighter winds reduce mixing, which helps explain why 18°C leads at 33% implied probability while 19°C and 20°C follow at 26% and 20.5%. The tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in variables such as cloud timing, wind strength, and subtle steering-pattern shifts that routinely swing the daily high by 1–2°C. No strong seasonal anomalies appear in current data, anchoring probabilities to historical distributions rather than extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 8?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 8?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$55,355 ปริมาณ
$55,355 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$55,355 ปริมาณ
$55,355 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
12°C or below
$3,993 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,640 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$2,556 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$2,690 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$4,526 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$6,782 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$8,722 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$12,326 ปริมาณ
Yes
20°C
$6,565 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,112 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$2,444 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 8 maximum temperature centers on 18–20°C outcomes because these align closely with July climatology and short-term ensemble guidance showing typical winter conditions.** Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily ranges commonly spanning 14–19°C according to long-term records and 2026 monthly outlooks. Modest warming potential exists if clearer skies boost daytime insolation or lighter winds reduce mixing, which helps explain why 18°C leads at 33% implied probability while 19°C and 20°C follow at 26% and 20.5%. The tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in variables such as cloud timing, wind strength, and subtle steering-pattern shifts that routinely swing the daily high by 1–2°C. No strong seasonal anomalies appear in current data, anchoring probabilities to historical distributions rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,355วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 8 maximum temperature centers on 18–20°C outcomes because these align closely with July climatology and short-term ensemble guidance showing typical winter conditions.** Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily ranges commonly spanning 14–19°C according to long-term records and 2026 monthly outlooks. Modest warming potential exists if clearer skies boost daytime insolation or lighter winds reduce mixing, which helps explain why 18°C leads at 33% implied probability while 19°C and 20°C follow at 26% and 20.5%. The tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in variables such as cloud timing, wind strength, and subtle steering-pattern shifts that routinely swing the daily high by 1–2°C. No strong seasonal anomalies appear in current data, anchoring probabilities to historical distributions rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,355วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s July 8 maximum temperature centers on 18–20°C outcomes because these align closely with July climatology and short-term ensemble guidance showing typical winter conditions.** Average July highs hover near 16–17°C, with daily ranges commonly spanning 14–19°C according to long-term records and 2026 monthly outlooks. Modest warming potential exists if clearer skies boost daytime insolation or lighter winds reduce mixing, which helps explain why 18°C leads at 33% implied probability while 19°C and 20°C follow at 26% and 20.5%. The tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in variables such as cloud timing, wind strength, and subtle steering-pattern shifts that routinely swing the daily high by 1–2°C. No strong seasonal anomalies appear in current data, anchoring probabilities to historical distributions rather than extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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