Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Seattle on July 20 around 82–85°F because short-range models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a continuation of the region’s above-average summer pattern, with a strong high-pressure ridge limiting marine-layer cooling and allowing daytime heating to push afternoon maxima into the low-to-mid 80s. This aligns with climatological trends showing Seattle’s July averages near 78°F and 2026 already tracking as the 14th consecutive hotter-than-normal summer. Key variables differentiating the leading brackets include the precise timing of any afternoon sea-breeze shift, model spread on boundary-layer moisture, and potential for localized urban heat effects at official measurement sites. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on July 20?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 20?
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 20, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 20, 2026
73°F or below
$1,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$2,397 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$264 ปริมาณ
1%
78-79°F
$304 ปริมาณ
6%
80-81°F
$369 ปริมาณ
13%
82-83°F
$429 ปริมาณ
26%
84-85°F
$592 ปริมาณ
37%
86-87°F
$830 ปริมาณ
16%
88-89°F
$266 ปริมาณ
5%
90-91°F
$59 ปริมาณ
1%
92°F or higher
$65 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Seattle on July 20 around 82–85°F because short-range models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a continuation of the region’s above-average summer pattern, with a strong high-pressure ridge limiting marine-layer cooling and allowing daytime heating to push afternoon maxima into the low-to-mid 80s. This aligns with climatological trends showing Seattle’s July averages near 78°F and 2026 already tracking as the 14th consecutive hotter-than-normal summer. Key variables differentiating the leading brackets include the precise timing of any afternoon sea-breeze shift, model spread on boundary-layer moisture, and potential for localized urban heat effects at official measurement sites. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,948วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Seattle on July 20 around 82–85°F because short-range models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a continuation of the region’s above-average summer pattern, with a strong high-pressure ridge limiting marine-layer cooling and allowing daytime heating to push afternoon maxima into the low-to-mid 80s. This aligns with climatological trends showing Seattle’s July averages near 78°F and 2026 already tracking as the 14th consecutive hotter-than-normal summer. Key variables differentiating the leading brackets include the precise timing of any afternoon sea-breeze shift, model spread on boundary-layer moisture, and potential for localized urban heat effects at official measurement sites. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,948วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Seattle on July 20 around 82–85°F because short-range models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a continuation of the region’s above-average summer pattern, with a strong high-pressure ridge limiting marine-layer cooling and allowing daytime heating to push afternoon maxima into the low-to-mid 80s. This aligns with climatological trends showing Seattle’s July averages near 78°F and 2026 already tracking as the 14th consecutive hotter-than-normal summer. Key variables differentiating the leading brackets include the precise timing of any afternoon sea-breeze shift, model spread on boundary-layer moisture, and potential for localized urban heat effects at official measurement sites. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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