Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$97,140 ปริมาณ
$97,140 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$97,140 ปริมาณ
$97,140 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
17°C or below
$3,670 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$5,985 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$6,086 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$5,338 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$4,960 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$6,122 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$7,453 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$13,281 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$12,648 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$18,119 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$13,478 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,140วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,140วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on May 2, 2026, driven by real-time observations from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport weather station (ZUUU), which recorded a peak of 25°C via Wunderground data—the market's resolution source. Morning reports from the China Meteorological Administration forecasted a maximum of 23°C amid overcast skies and light showers, but intraday measurements showed slight warming, likely from transient reductions in cloud cover despite persistent low-level moisture and cool air advection. Hourly station data confirms no exceedance, aligning with seasonal norms for early May (averaging 24-26°C highs). Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to archived data or discrepancies with non-airport stations, though market rules prioritize finalized Wunderground records; next CMA daily summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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