Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,341 ปริมาณ
$38,341 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,341 ปริมาณ
$38,341 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$389 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$871 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,885 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,780 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$10,229 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$7,936 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,662 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,046 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,581 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$661 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$2,301 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,341วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,341วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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